VIGIL CONSILIUM
Context. Not headlines.

Relationship record

Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) — JNIM

A garrison army holding hubs and an insurgency attacking the roads between them — the war's central military relationship since 2017.

Adversarial Since 2017-03

Active
Assessed as of
2026-09
Last reviewed
2026-09-28

AssessmentModerate confidence

A described arrangement, not a rating. Vigil publishes no measure of how strong, warm or hostile a relationship is, and no relationship on this site carries a score, a trend or a direction of travel. What is recorded is what the arrangement covers, when it began, what has changed it, and how firmly each of those is established.

In short

The military relationship between the Malian Armed Forces and JNIM since the coalition's formation in March 2017: hub defence and drone-supported columns on one side, ambush, siege and economic blockade on the other. Since September 2025 JNIM has attacked the economy the army defends rather than the army itself.

A symmetric arrangement: it reads the same from either side. Authored once, on one record.

The arrangement

Status
ActiveIn force and operating. Says nothing about how well it is working, or about which way it is heading.Last material change: 2025-09.
What it covers
Counter-terrorismDefenceCategories the arrangement is documented to include. Not a measure: a relationship covering more of them is described in more detail, not held more firmly.

Summary

JNIM was formed in March 2017 from the groups the army had been fighting since 2012, and the relationship has run through three phases. Until 2022 the army fought with French and UN forces beside it and lost outlying posts while holding the towns. From 2022, with Russian personnel integrated at the point of main effort and armed drones arriving from Türkiye, it went over to hub defence with intervention columns — the model that retook Kidal from the CSP in November 2023. From September 2025 JNIM changed what it attacks: the declared fuel blockade, the burning of tanker convoys on the corridors and the April–July 2026 offensives against Kayes, Sévaré and the western belt aim at the roads, the economy and the columns between the hubs rather than at the hubs, and no overrun outlying camp has been documented as re-established since mid-2025 — Boulikessi in June 2025 and Dioura in September 2026 are the cases. Both sides have a documented civilian-harm record: JNIM's blockades and mass-casualty assaults, and the army's joint operations with Russian partners, of which Moura in March 2022 remains the gravest documented case. Neither side has offered the other terms the other will accept, which is the state-level record's subject rather than this one's.

Why it matters

It is the relationship every other Sahel record runs through. The fuel blockade, the Russian presence, the AES joint force and the humanitarian access problem are all consequences of how these two forces fight, and a reader who takes the state's refusal to negotiate as the whole story misses that the army's method — hold the hubs, relieve by column — is what JNIM's 2025–26 campaign was designed to exhaust.

Related events

Organisations

Structures through which this relationship operates. Not parties to it — the parties are the two actors above.

Systems it depends on

Canonical logistics records. They carry the corridors, nodes, dependence and disruption history that this relationship rests on and does not restate.

Places

Markers this module already publishes. This record adds no geographic precision of its own.

What remains unknown

  • Neither force publishes strengths, losses or an account of individual engagements; casualty and materiel claims from both sides are carried as claims in the event records and not reconciled here.
  • Whether the non-re-establishment of overrun camps since mid-2025 is inability or a deliberate consolidation is not established in public.
  • JNIM's internal command relationship between the central-Mali and northern components is described in analysis rather than documented, and this record does not assume a single decision-maker on the JNIM side.

All Sahel relationships Open in Explore

Assessed as of — 2026-09 Last reviewed — 2026-09-28