VIGIL CONSILIUM
Context. Not headlines.

Vigil Professional

Work with the research, not just read it.

Public Vigil helps you understand the picture. Professional helps you work through what it changes: see what moved, trace a judgment to its sources, test an assumption and produce a cited brief, over the same reviewed records.

Focused access from $69 / €59 per month

Every Professional plan includes the full Professional toolset. You choose the research coverage you need.

Professional is active on your account.

Open ProfessionalManage account Change coverage

Traceable sourcesExplicit unknownsPublic corrections

The My Vigil desk: a masthead reading “5 reviewed changes to what you follow since your last visit”, four counters — needs attention 5, continue working 6, saved work 7, new evidence 10 — a “Continue where you left off” row holding an active brief, a saved query, a collection and a comparison, and a row of eight modules, Levant among them, each stating what moved and what was reviewed and held, on the review cycle to 14 October 2026.
My Vigil, the desk a subscriber returns to: what moved under what they follow, and the work they left open. The saved items are a demonstration workspace; every record they point at is canonical.

What you can do in it.

Monitor

Start each session with what changed.

One review cycle across the modules you cover: which standing questions moved, which were checked and held, and which opened on a baseline.

  • Moved, held and opened, counted apart
  • Standing Watch scopes for the questions you follow
  • The inspector opens any question in place
The Monitor workspace for the review cycle to 14 October 2026: 79 of 83 questions reviewed, 28 moved, 41 reviewed and held, 10 opened on a baseline, 4 pending; the What moved list leading the page, rows dated 11 and 14 October with their modules, one row — “Are the Gulf’s fixed energy nodes being restored faster than they are re-struck?” — selected; beside it the eight module cards, Levant among them, with what moved and what was reviewed and held in each, and an inspector open on that question showing its latest review, its six observables, its current reading and four actions.
Monitor, on the cycle to 14 October 2026. Twenty-eight questions moved and forty-one were checked and held — an unchanged review is a finding here, and it is counted as one.

Investigate

Trace any judgment to the records under it.

From a standing question to the observables that check it, to the record, to the registry sources it cites. Counts along the chain, never a score.

  • Query the corpus by actor, place, theme and date
  • Evidence Explorer and the four lenses
  • Fact and assessment kept apart throughout
The evidence chain for one observable record: question — “Is the Strait of Hormuz commercially usable again?”; observables — six records that check it; this record — the reading that no war-risk cover is being written on terms charterers take up; sources — four registry entries it cites.
Question, observables, the record, its sources. Four counts of canonical records, declared by the corpus — nothing here grades how strong the evidence is.

Network

See how the records connect, and what each connection rests on.

Every covered module as one graph of the references Vigil’s records author: expand from any record, trace the documented paths between two, and read the field each line rests on.

  • Lines kept in kinds, each with its basis
  • Path tracing, never a causal claim
  • Saved investigations and Brief Builder hand-off
The Network workbench centred on the Taiwan Strait Watch question “Can communications and civil systems function under disruption?”: the question in amber at the centre of the canvas, and around it the records its own fields name — Taiwan and the People’s Republic of China, the coast guard and communications administration, Keelung, Hualien and Penghu, the first island chain, a grey-zone campaign, civilian-system and economic objects, related questions, events and the Japan–Taiwan relationship record — each drawn the same size with its kind’s outline and icon, joined by lines whose pattern gives their kind. The supply system “Maritime trade routing and undersea connectivity” is selected and outlined in amber; the inspector beside the canvas reads it: its kind and module, 30 recorded lines, the actions to show more, isolate, centre, trace and open it in Economy & Logistics or Investigate, and its recorded connections grouped by kind, starting with its route nodes, each with a Basis button. Because a record other than the centre is selected, it and its own lines are brought forward and the rest of the canvas is faded but still drawn and named; the line above the canvas gives the records and lines on it, says what is brought forward, how many names are held back where they would overlap, and offers to clear the focus.
One investigation: the question at the centre, the records its fields name around it, the inspector on the selected record with every recorded line grouped by kind. Placement and size measure nothing; every line is one reference a record makes.

Economy & Logistics

Follow a disruption through the system it hits.

Supply systems, flows, infrastructure, industry and commodities as recorded objects: what a system depends on, what moves through it, and who is exposed when it is disrupted.

  • Inputs, core, movement and exposure, as recorded
  • Documented disruptions on each flow, dated
  • Transmission chains and the Watch questions attached
The Systems instrument on the Iran–Gulf energy system in the presentation state: four bands left to right — Inputs & dependencies (commodities and dependencies with their basis), Core system (named key nodes and the other markers grouped by type with counts), Movement (the supply systems through it, one marked with an open disruption) and Dependents & exposure (operators, exposure objects, grouped chains and Watch questions) — joined by arrows, with a row of key points beneath: key nodes, documented disruptions, operators, dependencies, Watch questions.
A strategic system as a summary: what it rests on, what it is, what runs through it, what depends on it. Groups open on request; the Full network view draws every id with its edge basis.

Humanitarian & Resilience

See which crossings and services are open, and on whose word.

Access, services, displacement and resilience as tracked objects, each state dated and attributed, including where nothing is known.

  • Crossing access states with their dates
  • Measures, movements and changes kept apart
  • Unknown is a recorded state, not a blank
The Access instrument on the central Sahel in the presentation state: crossings and corridors in four columns by the access state their own records state — Open (the Lomé–Ouagadougou corridor), Restricted (Kantchari and three escorted corridors), Closed (the Gaya–Malanville bridge and the Cotonou–Niamey road), Unknown or not recorded (Labbezanga, whose post was vacated, and the points with no recorded state) — each card with its type and the date of its state; counts beneath, the access object and import corridors it serves, and a strip of access changes.
Passage, by the state each record states and its date. Not recorded is not closed, and a reported restriction is not a closure; the board says which is which.

Forces & Operations

Read force structure as records, not as a map of arrows.

Formations, command relationships, equipment at service level, doctrine, terrain and sustainment, each a record with its own sources and limits.

  • The Force Atlas, by module
  • Command edges only where recorded
  • Sustainment linked to Economy & Logistics
The Forces instrument on the Ukrainian Ground Forces in the presentation state: five bands left to right — Chain of command (the Armed Forces of Ukraine as parent), Selected (the Ground Forces as a service branch), Subordinates (its operational commands, corps, brigades and artillery formations in the Atlas’s own groups), Fields (the documented systems its record claims, each card with its evidence grade — T-64BV, Leopard 2, M1A1 Abrams, M2 Bradley, Bohdana, CAESAR, HIMARS) and Oriented · seated (what its institution publishes about its orientation and seats, or that none is published); a row of counts beneath — records beneath it, documented systems, published seats, sustainment edges, dated changes — and the capability picture grouping the documented systems by function.
How a force is organised, as the records state it: the chain above, the formation, its subordinates in the Atlas’s groups, what it fields with the grade on each claim. A tree is subordination, never a strength, and the capability picture is a grouping, never a score.

Analyse / Scenario Lab

Test an assumption against the recorded system.

Compare two records on the dimensions both carry. In the Scenario Lab, set the conditions you want to hold and read which authored rules they reach.

  • Compare says NOT COMPARABLE rather than leaving a blank
  • Your assumptions stay yours; the rules are authored
  • Every template says what it does not model
Four numbered steps: 1, your assumption — yours, nothing you choose changes a record; 2, an authored rule an editor wrote, gated on your options; 3, the conditional implication, eleven first-order and five second-order, each with its own unknowns; 4, the Vigil record, cited with its own dates, confidence and sources — nothing is generated.
The whole method of a Vigil scenario, printed on the surface that runs it.

Produce / Brief Builder

Turn the week’s work into a brief someone else can check.

Assemble questions, records and your own notes into a brief. Every claim keeps its citation, and a correction to a record reaches the brief.

  • Your summary, marked as yours
  • Records placed with their dates and confidence
  • Exports that keep the citations
The briefing on paper: a Vigil Consilium intelligence-brief masthead, the title “Gulf maritime access — September”, the scope line “Iran–Gulf · week to 14 September 2026”, an executive summary marked as the author’s own, and beneath it numbered blocks each carrying its register, its condition date and its confidence.
The document the builder is assembling. Vigil’s wording prints as Vigil’s; the author’s prose is marked as the author’s, on the page and in every export.

Eight research modules

Choose the research you work on.

Each module is a maintained body of reviewed research: briefs, standing questions, actors, events and the records under them.

  • Ukraine–RussiaAn interstate war reshaping European security.
  • SahelOne conflict system across three states, with no single front.
  • CaucasusUnresolved wars inside a changing regional system.
  • SyriaA civil-war legacy shaping a regional transition.
  • Taiwan StraitA pressure system where deterrence, not fighting, is the subject.
  • Iran–GulfA regional system where energy, water and security run through one strait.
  • NATO Eastern FlankDeterrence, reinforcement and resilience across NATO's eastern theatre.
  • LevantA connected system of fronts, borders and arrangements, where security, governance and access decide each other.

Complete includes every published Vigil module, including newly added modules.

Coverage decides the price. The toolset is always complete.

Every Professional plan includes the full Professional toolset. You choose the research coverage you need.

Prices in

  • One module

    $69€59/ month

    Any one module you choose

  • Two modules

    $99€89/ month

    Any two

  • Three modules

    $139€119/ month

    Any three

  • Complete

    $199€169/ month

    All published modules, including newly added modules

Curated packs

Curated packs cost less than selecting the same modules individually.

  • European SecurityUkraine–Russia · NATO Eastern Flank$89€79/ month
  • Middle EastLevant · Syria · Iran–Gulf$129€109/ month
  • Global Strategic RiskUkraine–Russia · Iran–Gulf · Taiwan Strait$129€109/ month

More packs are on the coverage page. Monthly or annual, by PayPal subscription, in US dollars or euros. Cancel at any time.

Annual billing: twelve months of Professional for the price of ten — two months free on any coverage, from €590 / 690 to €1690 / 1990 a year.

Choose coverage

Already subscribed? Your existing Professional subscription continues unchanged. No action is required. Manage account

Research together: Vigil Professional Teams

The same system, for a working group: shared collections, shared brief drafts with revision history, one subscription covering the members. Personal workspaces stay personal; sharing is deliberate; the research corpus stays canonical.

About Professional Teams

Public Vigil is for following the research. Professional is where you work with it.

Public Vigil — free, and stays free

Read
Weekly briefs and analytical notes for every module.
Explore
Actors, relationships, events and timelines.
Map
Positions, markers and activity where a module is mapped.
Watch
Standing questions, reviewed every cycle.

Professional — work with it

Monitor
What moved across your modules, cycle by cycle.
Investigate
Every record down to its observables and sources.
Workbenches
Economy & Logistics, Humanitarian & Resilience, Forces & Operations.
Analyse
Compare records and run conditional scenarios.
Produce
Cited briefs, kept current by corrections.
My Vigil
Your follows, collections, notes and drafts.

The tools change. The evidentiary standard does not.

  • The same records

    Professional works over the records Vigil publishes, with the same sourcing, dating and confidence rules. There is no subscriber-grade claim.

  • Nothing is generated

    Scenario implications are authored rules citing records. No score, no probability, no threat level, no hidden model.

  • Unknown stays unknown

    Where Vigil does not know, the record says so. Nothing is estimated to fill a field.

  • Corrections reach your work

    Saved work holds references, not copies, so a correction reaches your briefs. Corrections are logged publicly.

Professional methodology · Corrections log · Handbook

One question, through a working week.

Iran–Gulf · standing questionIs the Strait of Hormuz commercially usable again?

  1. MondayMonitorThe question’s review moved this cycle. Read what changed, and what was checked and held beside it.
  2. TuesdayInvestigateOpen its observables: war-risk cover, the navigational assessment and the legal régime, tracked apart because they move apart.
  3. WednesdayEconomy & LogisticsFollow the Hormuz-dependent export system to its bypasses and the disruptions dated against them.
  4. ThursdayScenario LabHold the disruption’s duration and the state of war-risk cover, and read which authored implications they reach.
  5. FridayBrief BuilderWrite your summary above the reviewed questions and hand on a brief whose every claim carries its source.

Questions.

What is Vigil Professional?

A research workspace over the records Vigil publishes: Monitor, Investigate, Network, the Economy & Logistics, Humanitarian & Resilience and Forces & Operations workbenches, Analyse and Produce, with My Vigil keeping your follows, notes and drafts.

What is included with every Professional plan?

The full Professional toolset. No tool is reserved for a larger plan; a plan decides only which research modules the tools work over.

What does module coverage mean?

The research modules your subscription includes. A page, record or saved item from a module outside your coverage says so instead of opening. Saved work from a module you stop covering is kept, and opens again if you cover it later.

Can I choose my modules?

Yes: any one, two or three. If the modules you choose make up a curated pack, you pay the pack’s price.

What are curated packs?

Fixed sets of two or three modules that are read together. Each costs less than selecting the same modules individually.

What is Professional Complete?

Every published Vigil module, including newly added modules.

Can I change my coverage later?

You can change your Professional coverage from your account. The exact timing of a change depends on the billing flow and will be shown before confirmation.

What happens to existing subscribers?

Your existing Professional subscription continues unchanged. No action is required.

Is public Vigil still available?

Yes. Everything Vigil publishes publicly — briefs, notes, Explore, Map and Watch — stays public and free, with no account.

Is Professional for one named user?

Yes. A subscription, its sign-in links and its sessions are personal. For a team or an organisation, write to us; that is a conversation.

How is billing handled?

By PayPal subscription, monthly or annual, in US dollars or euros, each at its own fixed price. Cancel at any time at PayPal; Professional stays open until the end of the period already paid for.

Is there an annual plan?

Yes. Annual billing costs ten months of the monthly price for twelve months of access — two months free on any coverage. The coverage and the toolset are identical on both.

Can a team work in Vigil together?

Yes — Vigil Professional Teams adds Shared Workspaces for organisations: shared collections, shared brief drafts with revision history, and one subscription covering the members. Personal workspaces stay personal, and shared work never changes Vigil’s own research records.

Professional terms · Privacy notice

Choose the coverage you work on.

The full toolset on every plan. Change your coverage from your account as your work changes.

Choose coverageSee how Professional works Explore public research

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