Source registry

• Barrick Mining corporate statements and filingsCompany filing

  Company positions on the Loulo–Gounkoto dispute and settlement; one party's account.

• bp Azerbaijan pipeline and project disclosuresCompany filing

  Operator data for the BTC pipeline and South Caucasus gas projects; company disclosures, read as such.

• TSMC investor filings and official statementsCompany filing
  Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

  Company-reported revenue, capacity and investment figures. Company disclosure — used for TSMC's own reported numbers, not market forecasts.

• Africa Defense Forum (ADF)Established media
  US Africa Command

  Defence-affairs magazine published by US Africa Command — analysis and reporting, not US policy, and read with that affiliation in mind. Same handling as africa-center. Figures it attributes to named analysts are cited as those analysts' assessments.

• Al Jazeera EnglishEstablished media

  Strong Sahel coverage; state-funded (Qatar) — treated as established media.

• Associated PressEstablished media
• BBC NewsEstablished media
• BBC News — Asia-Pacific coverageEstablished media
  BBC
• Central News Agency / Focus TaiwanEstablished media
  Central News Agency (CNA), Taiwan

  Taiwan's national news agency and its English service. State-funded but editorially independent; used for domestic official announcements and exercise reporting, with the funding relationship noted rather than treated as disqualifying.

• Civil.geEstablished media

  Georgian English-language outlet with strong institutional coverage.

• Defense NewsEstablished media
  Sightline Media Group

  Defence trade press. Used for the Patriot co-production licensing sequence, where it carries individually attributed statements from named US officials and from Lockheed Martin and Raytheon executives. One motive claim in that reporting rests on a single anonymous congressional official and is recorded as reported, not established.

• Established international media reportingEstablished media
• EurasianetEstablished media

  Independent outlet focused on the Caucasus and Central Asia.

• Financial Times — semiconductor and supply-chain coverageEstablished media
  Financial Times
• France 24 / RFIEstablished media

  French public international broadcasters with long-standing Sahel desks; French state-funded — coverage of France's own role read with that in mind.

• Kyiv PostEstablished media

  Ukrainian English-language outlet; republishes ISW assessments daily.

• ReutersEstablished media
• Reuters — Taiwan and China coverageEstablished media
  Reuters
• RFE/RL (Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty)Established media

  Long-standing Caucasus and Russia services; US-government-funded — treated as established media with that provenance stated.

• Syria DirectEstablished media

  Syria-focused outlet with reporting networks inside the country; strongest on local governance, returns and the coastal and southern files.

• Taipei TimesEstablished media
  Taipei Times

  English-language Taiwanese daily. Used for domestic policy and exercise reporting, including regulator guidance published ahead of drills.

• The Kyiv IndependentEstablished media

  Ukrainian English-language outlet; strong access, Ukrainian perspective.

• The Moscow TimesEstablished media

  Independent Russia-focused outlet operating in exile.

• Established historical recordHistorical record

  Events documented consistently across mainstream histories and contemporaneous reporting; not individually cited.

• EBRD project and financing disclosuresInternational organisation

  Signed project financing for regional transport and customs infrastructure. Bank disclosures state what has been financed and contracted, which is not the same as what has been built.

• EU Monitoring Mission in Georgia (EUMM)International organisation

  The EU's unarmed civilian monitoring mission at the Abkhazia and South Ossetia boundary lines; mission access to the breakaway regions is denied, which its reporting itself states.

• European Commission economic forecasts and Ukraine facility reportingInternational organisation
  European Commission

  Macro-fiscal forecasts and disbursement reporting under the EU's Ukraine support instruments.

• FAO and FAO/WFP food-security and crop assessmentsInternational organisation
  Food and Agriculture Organization

  Harvest, export and food-price assessments for the Black Sea basin.

• IEA electricity and energy-security analysisInternational organisation
  International Energy Agency

  Generation capacity, grid resilience and energy-market analysis. Used for system-level claims, never for facility detail.

• IMF World Economic OutlookInternational organisation

  Macroeconomic data and projections from an international organisation; forecasts are revised as conditions change.

• International Committee of the Red CrossInternational organisation

  Missing-persons and detention figures for the Karabakh and Georgia conflicts; case-based totals that revise as cases close.

• IOM displacement tracking (Ukraine)International organisation
  International Organization for Migration

  Internal-displacement and return-intention survey rounds.

• OHCHR Ukraine civilian casualty monitoringInternational organisation

  Individually verified civilian casualty counts from the UN human rights monitoring mission — a deliberate undercount by construction; OHCHR itself states actual totals are considerably higher.

• OSCE texts and mission recordsInternational organisation

  Includes the Minsk Group record, ceasefire frameworks and historical monitoring reports; the organisation's own mandate history is part of the story it documents.

• UN Independent International Commission of Inquiry on SyriaInternational organisation

  Mandated investigative body on violations in Syria since 2011, including the March 2025 coastal violence findings. Findings are investigative conclusions, not court verdicts.

• UN OCHA humanitarian reporting (Mali / Sahel)International organisation

  Needs and response figures are agency estimates with revision cycles; access constraints mean under-reporting in the least reachable areas.

• UN OCHA humanitarian reporting (Ukraine)International organisation

  Needs and response figures are agency estimates with revision cycles; agencies have no access to occupied territory, so figures there are floors, not counts.

• UN OCHA Syria humanitarian reportingInternational organisation
• UN Security Council and Panel of Experts reportingInternational organisation

  Includes historical MINUSMA reporting and sanctions panel findings; dated, mandate-bound, and slower than events.

• UNHCR data and reporting (South Caucasus)International organisation

  Displacement and refugee figures for the Karabakh and Georgia displacements; registration-based and revised over time.

• UNHCR operational data (Mali situation)International organisation

  Registration-based; movement outside registration systems is undercounted.

• UNHCR Syria situation data and operational updatesInternational organisation

  Refugee, returnee and IDP figures for the Syria situation. Registration- and estimate-based; return figures distinguish refugee returns from internal displacement returns.

• UNHCR Ukraine situation dataInternational organisation

  Refugee and displacement figures from a UN agency; registration-based, so movement outside registration systems is undercounted.

• World Bank country data (Mali)International organisation
• World Bank Syria country data and damage assessmentsInternational organisation

  Country data and the damage-and-needs assessments behind the reconstruction cost estimates. Needs figures are assessment estimates, not funded programmes.

• World Bank Ukraine damage and needs assessmentsInternational organisation
  World Bank / Government of Ukraine / European Commission / UN

  The joint Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment series — the standard reference for reconstruction cost estimates. Needs figures, not pipelines.

• World Food Programme assessmentsInternational organisation
• World Nuclear Association — country profile, TaiwanInternational organisation
  World Nuclear Association

  International nuclear industry association, not a regulator. Used for the dated reactor-status record (shutdown dates, capacity, restart filings), which it maintains consistently. It is an industry body with a declared interest in nuclear power; status dates are factual and used as such, while any framing of nuclear prospects is not relied on. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• WTO and IMF trade and economic dataInternational organisation
  World Trade Organization / International Monetary Fund

  Trade flow and macroeconomic reference data.

• Counterpoint Research — global semiconductor foundry market shareMarket data
  Counterpoint Research

  Quarterly revenue share of the PURE-PLAY foundry segment, which excludes the in-house foundry operations of integrated device manufacturers. Cited for company market share only. It is not a measure of where capacity is physically located, and this module does not convert it into one. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• Joint War Committee — Listed Areas (marine war-risk)Market data
  Lloyd's Market Association and London company market underwriters

  The body whose Listed Areas determine where marine hull war-risk cover must be individually negotiated rather than falling under standing arrangements. Used as a binary, publicly checkable indicator of insurance-market assessment. Vigil records whether an area is listed; it publishes no premium rates and no forward pricing. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• Public market and insurance dataMarket data
• Amnesty International research and statementsNGO / civil society
  Amnesty International

  Trial monitoring, detention and fair-trial findings. Used here for the Baku proceedings against former Karabakh officials. Amnesty's characterisations are recorded as its stated assessment, not as findings of fact by this site.

• Global Centre for the Responsibility to Protect — country monitoringNGO / civil society
  Global Centre for the Responsibility to Protect

  Atrocity-prevention monitoring organisation. Its country pages compile displacement, food-security and civilian-casualty figures from UN and agency reporting; the compilation is secondary, so figures are cited as the Centre's restatement of agency data rather than as primary counts. Its normative framing — whether a situation warrants protective action — is the organisation's own position and is never adopted here.

• Human Rights Watch investigationsNGO / civil society
  Human Rights Watch

  Field investigations combining witness interviews, satellite imagery and open-source verification. Its LEGAL characterisations — indiscriminate, disproportionate, unlawful — are the organisation's own assessments and are cited as attributed findings, never adopted by Vigil as established fact. Casualty figures are investigation-based, not official counts.

• Memorial Human Rights Centre documentationNGO / civil society

  Primary documentation of the Chechen wars and North Caucasus abuses; liquidated by Russian court order in 2021–22 and continuing in exile — archive material predates the liquidation.

• Mine-action survey and clearance reportingNGO / civil society
  GICHD / HALO Trust / national mine-action authorities

  Contamination survey and land-release reporting. Suspected-contamination figures are estimates pending survey, not confirmed hazard maps.

• The HALO Trust mine-action reportingNGO / civil society

  Landmine and UXO clearance data for the Karabakh conflict zone and wider region; operational totals from the implementing organisation itself.

• Congressional Research Service — Taiwan reportsOfficial government data
  Congressional Research Service

  Non-partisan analytical reporting for the US Congress on Taiwan defence, arms sales and policy.

• EITI Mali extractive-sector disclosuresOfficial government data

  Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative disclosures; reporting lags the fiscal year and depends on government and company submissions.

• House of Commons Library research briefingsOfficial government data
  UK Parliament — House of Commons Library

  Non-partisan analytical briefings prepared for members of the UK Parliament. Used here for the negotiation record, where it is one of the few institutional sources that states plainly which proposals are public, which are reported, and which have not been published at all.

• Legislative Yuan proceedings and budget recordsOfficial government data
  Legislative Yuan, Republic of China (Taiwan)

  Budget legislation and committee records — the primary basis for defence budget figures, which pass through a legislature the executive does not control.

• National Bank of Ukraine statistics and inflation reportsOfficial government data
  National Bank of Ukraine

  Reserves, exchange-rate, inflation and balance-of-payments data.

• Russian Central Bank and Rosstat published statisticsOfficial government data
  Bank of Russia / Rosstat

  Official Russian macroeconomic and fiscal data. Recorded as published figures; coverage and methodology changes since 2022 are noted where they affect a claim.

• US / EU / UK sanctions designationsOfficial government data
• All-out Defense Mobilization Agency — TaiwanOfficial statement
  All-out Defense Mobilization Agency, Ministry of National Defense, Republic of China (Taiwan)

  The agency administering reserve mobilisation, materiel mobilisation and civil-defence coordination. Publishes the public civil-defence handbook and the annual Urban Resilience exercise programme. Used for institutional structure and published exercise scope only — never for reserve strengths, call-up capacity or readiness, which it does not publish and this module does not estimate. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• Anti-Secession Law of the People's Republic of China (2005)Official statement
  National People's Congress

  The 2005 statute setting out the PRC's declared legal basis for "non-peaceful means". Cited as the text of a stated legal position.

• Armed-group statements (JNIM, FLA, IS-Sahel and others)Official statement

  Claims published by non-state armed groups through their own channels. Treated strictly as positions — never as confirmation of outcomes, losses or control. Cited only where a claim itself is the fact being reported.

• Coast Guard Administration — TaiwanOfficial statement
  Ocean Affairs Council, Coast Guard Administration, Republic of China (Taiwan)

  Taiwan's maritime law-enforcement service. Used for Taipei's account of encounters with China Coast Guard vessels and for its rejection of PRC jurisdictional characterisations. An interested party to the incidents it reports, and graded as a stated position. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• Coast Guard Law of the PRC (2021) and CCG Order No. 3 (2024)Official statement
  People's Republic of China

  Primary legal texts. The 2021 Law authorises law enforcement in "maritime areas under Chinese jurisdiction" without defining them; Order No. 3, "Provisions on Administrative Law Enforcement Procedures", in force 2024-06-15, sets out boarding, inspection and detention procedures. Vigil cites these to describe what Beijing ASSERTS. Citing an instrument is not endorsing the validity of the claim it makes, and this module does not adjudicate that question. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• Collective Security Treaty Organization official texts and statementsOfficial statement
  CSTO Secretariat

  Charter provisions, summit decisions and secretariat statements. Used for Armenia's formal membership standing, which this module distinguishes sharply from its level of participation.

• European Union institutional texts and Council conclusionsOfficial statement
  European Council / European Commission

  Council conclusions, Commission communications and the legal texts of sanctions packages and financial-assistance instruments. Treated as stated positions and as the authoritative record of what was adopted.

• German Federal Government — military support for Ukraine listOfficial statement
  Presse- und Informationsamt der Bundesregierung

  A primary government itemisation separating delivered support from support in planning or execution — the distinction Vigil needs. FROZEN: the page states it is an overview as of 17 April 2025 and "will not be updated further". It is therefore a historical delivery record to that date and NOT a current delivery tracker, and it covers one donor only.

• IAEA Ukraine nuclear safety updatesOfficial statement
• Japan Ministry of Defense — Defense of Japan and official statementsOfficial statement
  Ministry of Defense, Japan

  Japanese official defence policy, white papers and regional statements.

• MOEA Energy Administration — energy statistics and security stockpile requirementsOfficial statement
  Energy Administration, Ministry of Economic Affairs, Republic of China (Taiwan)

  Taiwan's energy regulator. Publishes the generation mix and the stepped natural-gas security-stockpile and storage-capacity requirements placed on gas importers since 2018. Used here for REQUIREMENTS AND TARGETS ONLY — current holdings on any given date are not published and are not claimed anywhere in this module. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• National Communications Commission — TaiwanOfficial statement
  National Communications Commission, Republic of China (Taiwan)

  Taiwan's telecommunications and broadcasting regulator. Used here for the published scope of the August 2026 mobile-network degradation drills: which jurisdictions, which time windows, and — the part that carries most of the analytical weight — which services were explicitly excluded from throttling. Recorded as the regulator's OWN PUBLISHED SCOPE for an exercise it administered, not as an independent measurement of what subscribers experienced.

• NATO official texts and summit declarationsOfficial statement

  Alliance positions and formal commitments; treated as positions, not outcomes.

• Official government statementsOfficial statement

  Statements by the governments concerned; treated as positions, not facts.

• Philippine government and armed forces statementsOfficial statement
  Republic of the Philippines

  Philippine official statements on EDCA sites, exercises and northern Luzon security — policy positions, not basing detail.

• PLA Eastern Theater Command — exercise announcementsOfficial statement
  Eastern Theater Command, People's Liberation Army

  Exercise announcements, codenames and stated objectives, including the Justice Mission-2025 announcement of 2025-12-29. Used for what the PLA SAYS an exercise is for. A stated exercise objective is a declaration, not an observation of what occurred, and the two are kept apart wherever this source is cited. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• PRC government and Taiwan Affairs Office statementsOfficial statement
  People's Republic of China

  Official PRC positions, including Taiwan Affairs Office and Ministry of National Defense statements. Recorded as the OFFICIAL PRC POSITION — clearly labelled as such, never as neutral description.

• Russian Ministry of Defence statementsOfficial statement

  Russian official claims; treated as positions requiring corroboration, with a documented record of overstatement.

• SDF / AANES official statementsOfficial statement

  Statements by the Syrian Democratic Forces and the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria; treated as positions, not facts.

• Statements by de facto authorities (Abkhazia, South Ossetia, former Nagorno-Karabakh)Official statement

  Positions published by unrecognised or partially recognised authorities. Treated strictly as positions — citation is never recognition, and never confirmation of facts on the ground.

• Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs — statements and legal responsesOfficial statement
  Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Republic of China (Taiwan)

  Used for Taipei's formal responses to PRC legal and maritime measures. Treated as a stated position, not as an adjudication. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• Taiwan Ministry of National Defense — activity reportingOfficial statement
  Ministry of National Defense, Republic of China (Taiwan)

  The MND publishes daily summaries of detected PLA aircraft and naval activity around Taiwan, and periodic Quadrennial Defense Reviews. Vigil uses these as OFFICIAL TAIWANESE REPORTING of detections — one party's published count, not an independent measurement, and never reproduced at track, route or position level.

• Taiwan Power Company — generation, coal stocks and reactor filingsOfficial statement
  Taiwan Power Company (state-owned)

  State-owned utility. Used for coal stockpile policy, generation data and the March 2026 reactor reactivation filings. A state utility's own statements about its holdings are operator statements, not independent audit, and are graded accordingly. Reviewed 2026-08-28.

• Taiwan Presidential Office and Executive Yuan statementsOfficial statement
  Office of the President, Republic of China (Taiwan)

  Official Taiwanese government positions and policy announcements.

• Taiwan Relations Act and US statutory frameworkOfficial statement
  United States Congress

  The 1979 Act, the Three Communiqués and the Six Assurances — the statutory and declaratory basis of US policy. Statute text, not a prediction of US action.

• UK Ministry of Defence — Defence Intelligence updatesOfficial statement

  Published intelligence assessments; a governmental analytic view, not neutral ground truth.

• Ukrainian energy-system operator statementsOfficial statement
  Ukrenergo and Ministry of Energy of Ukraine

  System-operator statements on generation, restrictions and restoration. Recorded as operator statements; the module publishes no facility detail.

• Ukrainian military and General Staff statementsOfficial statement

  Claims by Ukrainian commands (General Staff, service branches, named commanders); treated as positions requiring corroboration, especially strike-effect and loss claims.

• US Department of Defense — China Military Power ReportOfficial statement
  US Department of Defense

  Annual congressionally mandated assessment of PLA modernisation. A US government assessment — used for broad capability trends only, never for order-of-battle or deployment claims.

• DeepState live mapOSINT / geolocation

  Ukrainian OSINT frontline mapping; near-real-time but Ukrainian-sourced, used here only for coarse, dated territorial-control claims.

• LostArmour strike-footage cataloguingOSINT / geolocation

  Russian-language OSINT catalogue of published strike footage (notably Lancet employment). Useful for documented-use volume; counts reflect published footage, not verified effects, and carry a pro-Russian selection bias.

• MilitaryLand.net Ukrainian force-structure trackingOSINT / geolocation

  Community-maintained tracking of Ukrainian formations — lineage, subordination, insignia and reorganisations. Structure only; carries no positional currency and is treated accordingly.

• Oryx visually-confirmed equipment documentationOSINT / geolocation
• ACLED conflict data & analysisThink tank / research institute

  Event-coded conflict data and expert commentary; counts reflect reported, coded incidents, not verified ground truth.

• Africa Center for Strategic StudiesThink tank / research institute

  US Department of Defense academic institution; analysis, not US policy.

• Brookings Institution — Taiwan and East Asia analysisThink tank / research institute
  Brookings Institution
• Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center analysesThink tank / research institute
• CREA monthly analysis of Russian fossil-fuel exports and sanctionsThink tank / research institute
  Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air

  Monthly export-volume and export-revenue tracking, split by crude and by refined product. Used for the direction and scale of export flows; the underlying cargo tracking is commercial and cannot be independently audited from the published note.

• CSIS China Power Project and ChinaPower analysisThink tank / research institute
  Center for Strategic and International Studies

  Quantitative analysis of Chinese power, including grey-zone pressure tracking around Taiwan.

• Foreign Policy Research InstituteThink tank / research institute
  Foreign Policy Research Institute

  Used for interceptor industrial-base analysis, including actual PAC-3 MSE output against announced expansion targets, the seeker and rocket-motor bottlenecks, and the allied order backlog. Production figures are drawn from manufacturer and Pentagon reporting rather than measured independently.

• Global Taiwan Institute — Taiwan policy analysisThink tank / research institute
  Global Taiwan Institute
• IISS Military BalanceThink tank / research institute

  Annual reference for force structure, order of battle and equipment holdings; the baseline for structural claims about services and branches.

• Institute for Science and International Security — Shahed deployment analysisThink tank / research institute
  Institute for Science and International Security

  Monthly series counting one-way attack drone launches and hit rates. The underlying counts are Ukrainian Air Force daily reports — a belligerent source, independently compiled — and "shot down/suppressed" merges kinetic kills with electronic-warfare neutralisation. Daytime launches may be undercounted by 5–10 per cent, and from May 2026 Ukrainian reporting stopped separating strike drones from decoys, so later type splits are estimates.

• Institute for Security Studies (ISS Africa)Think tank / research institute
  Institute for Security Studies

  African policy research institute. Its corridor, governance and transition analysis is used here for structural argument and published figures; its policy recommendations are the institute's own positions, not findings.

• International Crisis GroupThink tank / research institute
• ISW campaign assessmentsThink tank / research institute
• Karam Shaar Advisory — Syria sanctions and economy analysisThink tank / research institute

  Specialist tracking of Syria sanctions status, legislative changes and the political economy of the transition.

• Lowy Institute — Indo-Pacific analysisThink tank / research institute
  Lowy Institute
• MERICS — China analysisThink tank / research institute
  Mercator Institute for China Studies
• Middle East Institute — Syria programmeThink tank / research institute
• Missile Matters — Fabian HoffmannThink tank / research institute
  Fabian Hoffmann (independent specialist newsletter)

  Individual missile-specialist analysis, cited as attributed argument rather than as an institutional finding. Used for the competing explanations of reduced ballistic interception and for the point that published interception rates have no denominator, because attempted engagements are not published.

• NATO Joint Air Power Competence Centre — air power analysisThink tank / research institute
  Joint Air Power Competence Centre (JAPCC)

  NATO-accredited centre of excellence. Used for the assessed counter-measure hierarchy against glide bombs (Zanier and Anderson, April 2026). Its findings are the authors' professional assessment and are not a NATO position; the centre is affiliated with the alliance, not speaking for it.

• OSW Centre for Eastern StudiesThink tank / research institute
  Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich (Centre for Eastern Studies), Warsaw

  Polish government-funded research centre. Used for Ukrainian fiscal and force-generation analysis, including the 2026 budget assessment. Its conclusions are analysis and are attributed as such; the state funding relationship is noted rather than treated as disqualifying.

• RAND Corporation — Taiwan and Indo-Pacific researchThink tank / research institute
  RAND Corporation
• RUSI component and capability analysesThink tank / research institute

  Teardown and capability reports (e.g. recovered-drone component analyses). Findings represent the institute's analysis of examined samples, not fleet-wide certainty.

• SIPRI Military Expenditure DatabaseThink tank / research institute
• Taiwan Security Monitor — PLA Activity Center and Arms Sale Backlog trackersThink tank / research institute
  Schar School of Policy and Government, George Mason University

  COMPILATION, NOT PRIMARY PUBLICATION. Its PLA Activity Center aggregates Taiwan MND daily activity releases into monthly totals, and its Arms Sale Backlog series aggregates US congressional notifications against reported deliveries. Vigil cites it for the AGGREGATE and cites MND or the notification record for anything about a single day or a single case. The compiler's month boundaries and inclusion rules are its own and are not independently verified here.

• Ukraine Support Tracker — Kiel Institute for the World EconomyThink tank / research institute
  Kiel Institute for the World Economy

  MEASURES COMMITMENTS, NOT DELIVERIES. The tracker's own description is aid "pledged to Ukraine", and it does not separately track what arrived. In-kind military aid is valued by "choosing an upper bound, when possible, e.g., by using the new purchase price even if much of the military equipment is probably used", so totals are deliberately biased high. Covers 41 donors plus EU institutions through June 2026; excludes private donations and most international-organisation flows. Never cite it as evidence that a system reached Ukraine.

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