What happened
Katiba Macina embeds the insurgency in the Mopti and Ségou regions, recruiting on local grievance and pastoralist marginalisation; the centre overtakes the north as the war's deadliest theatre.
Central Mali proved the insurgency was not a northern or Tuareg phenomenon but a state-absence phenomenon — and put it astride the river, the roads and the food systems the whole country depends on.
Confidence: High
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