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戰役

黎巴嫩戰線,2023–2024年

與加薩相連的十一個月跨境交火,之後是十週的以色列升級行動,重創真主黨領導層,並以一項真主黨未簽署的停止敵對行動告終。

8 October 2023 – 27 November 2024 以色列–黎巴嫩 / 藍線

已結束
評估截至
2026-10
最後檢視
2026-10-12

評估高信心

提供背景,而非指引目標。戰役紀錄在已發表分析的層級上描述目標、參與方、階段與結果;其中不包含任何當前陣地、兵力對比、部隊位置或兵力規模。

定位圖 — 陸地輪廓取自Natural Earth 110m(公有領域);此紀錄提及的6個地點,標於本模組已公布的座標。圖中未繪製任何路線、邊界、控制範圍或活動。

此戰役是什麼

The Israel–Hezbollah war from Hezbollah's "support front" of 8 October 2023 to the cessation of 27 November 2024: a year of cross-border fire, then Israel's Northern Arrows campaign and ground operation. It set the terms — arms monopoly, phased withdrawal — that carried into 2026.

The campaign broke the linkage between the Lebanon front and Gaza that Hezbollah had maintained for a year, removed much of its senior leadership, and produced the 2024 cessation — the text whose terms the Lebanese cabinet decisions of 2025 and the 2026 instruments carried forward. The five positions Israel retained after February 2025 became Hezbollah's stated reason not to disarm and Lebanon's first demand in every later round.

信心:高 截至2026-10檢視於2026-10-12

摘要

Hezbollah began firing on Israeli positions in the Shebaa Farms area on 8 October 2023, stating it acted in support of Gaza. Nearly a year of cross-border exchanges followed, and communities on both sides of the Blue Line were evacuated. In September 2024 Israel's security cabinet made the return of northern residents a war aim, and on 23 September Israel launched an air campaign across Lebanon under the name "Northern Arrows". Hezbollah's Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah was killed in an Israeli strike in Beirut's southern suburbs on 27 September, and Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon began on 1 October, which the IDF described as limited and targeted. The United States and France announced a cessation of hostilities effective 27 November 2024, under which Lebanon undertook to confine arms to official forces, starting south of the Litani, and Israel to withdraw within 60 days as the Lebanese army deployed, with a US-chaired Mechanism to monitor it. Hezbollah was not a party.

宣示目標

參與方所說的內容。每一條目都註明立場的提出出處;Vigil記錄的是該立場曾被提出,而非其為真。

主要部隊

對立部隊

  • 真主黨的軍事組織 對立部隊 · 信心:高 · 截至2024-11
  • 拉德萬部隊 對立部隊 · 信心:中等 · 截至2024-09

    Named in IDF statements as the target of the 20 September 2024 strike in Beirut's southern suburbs that killed the Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Aqil, whose death Hezbollah acknowledged. Its structure and strength are not established in open sources and are not described here.

支援方與外部方

  • 第91加利利師 Supporting force · Confidence: High · as of 2024-10

    The territorial division on the Lebanon border; held the line during the year of cross-border fire and began operations inside Lebanon in early October 2024, according to IDF statements.

  • 第98師 支援部隊 · 信心:中等 · 截至2024-10

    Reported by the IDF among the first formations in the ground operation from 1 October 2024.

  • 第36師 支援部隊 · 信心:中等 · 截至2024-10

    Reported by the IDF as joining the ground operation in early October 2024.

  • 第146師 Supporting force · Confidence: High · as of 2024-10

    The IDF announced on 8 October 2024 that the 146th, a reserve division, had begun operations in southern Lebanon — the first reserve division to do so in that campaign.

  • 以色列空軍 Supporting force · Confidence: High · as of 2024-11

    Northern Arrows opened as an air campaign across Lebanon on 23 September 2024. No strike-target detail is carried.

受影響方

  • 聯合國駐黎巴嫩臨時部隊(聯黎部隊) 受影響方 · 信心:高 · 截至2024-11

    Deployed between the Blue Line and the Litani throughout. UNIFIL reported its positions hit and peacekeepers injured during the ground operation in October 2024. The cessation of November 2024 placed it in the Mechanism.

  • 黎巴嫩武裝部隊 受影響方 · 信心:高 · 截至2024-11

    Not a party to the fighting; lost personnel to Israeli strikes during the campaign, and under the cessation became the force meant to deploy south of the Litani as Israel withdrew.

階段

8 October 2023 – September 2024 信心:高

Hezbollah's support front

Hezbollah opened fire on 8 October 2023, stating it acted in support of Gaza. Nearly a year of cross-border exchanges followed, largely within the border belt, and communities on both sides of the Blue Line were evacuated, which made their return a war aim and a negotiating term.

來源: Statements by Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Hezbollah and allied armed organisations · UN Security Council resolutions, Secretary-General reports and meeting records (Levant)↗ · Reuters↗

23 September – 26 November 2024 信心:高

Northern Arrows and the ground operation

Israel launched an air campaign across Lebanon on 23 September 2024 under the name "Northern Arrows". Hassan Nasrallah was killed on 27 September, and ground operations in southern Lebanon began on 1 October, which the IDF described as limited, targeted and geographically confined.

來源: Israel Defense Forces — Spokesperson's Unit announcements↗ · UN Security Council resolutions, Secretary-General reports and meeting records (Levant)↗ · Reuters↗

27 November 2024 – 18 February 2025 信心:高

The cessation and the positions Israel retained

The cessation took effect on 27 November 2024 with a 60-day withdrawal period, later extended to 18 February 2025. Israel then withdrew from most of southern Lebanon but kept five hilltop positions north of the Blue Line, and the UN reports it also maintained two "buffer zones" there.

來源: Treaty and agreement texts — Israel, Palestine, Lebanon and neighbours↗ · UN Security Council resolutions, Secretary-General reports and meeting records (Levant)↗ · Israel Defense Forces — Spokesperson's Unit announcements↗

結果與目前狀態

Concluded by the cessation of hostilities of 27 November 2024. Hezbollah lost much of its senior leadership and its linkage of the front to Gaza, and the Lebanese state took on an obligation to confine arms to official forces. Israel withdrew in February 2025 except from five positions, and the front reopened in March 2026, when the cessation was overtaken without being formally terminated.

政治意涵

A weakened Hezbollah and a new Lebanese government made the 2025 cabinet decisions on the monopoly of arms possible.

軍事意涵

The cessation's sequence — Lebanese deployment matched by Israeli withdrawal under a US-chaired monitor — is the template the 2026 Framework reworked.

仍然未知的事項

  • Whether the cessation's disarmament obligation covers all of Lebanon or only the area south of the Litani is disputed between Israel and Hezbollah.
  • Casualty figures for the period vary between Lebanese, Israeli and UN sources and are not combined in this record.
  • The full order of battle on either side is not published; the formations named are those named in official statements.

證據同樣支持的其他解讀

  • The cessation can be read as Hezbollah's defeat on the front it opened, or as a pause that left both its arms north of the Litani and its political position intact. The record of 2025–2026 is consistent with elements of both.

列出這些解讀,是因為該紀錄本身的評估並非其來源所允許的唯一評估 — 而不是對上述評估的保留。

在探索中檢視執行此戰役的部隊 互動式:選取此紀錄並追蹤與其關聯的內容。

評估截至 — 2026-10 最近檢視 — 2026-10-12

相關紀錄

此戰役所提及、或提及此戰役的紀錄共15筆——每一筆都是已發布紀錄中的明確引用,沒有任何一筆是依主題推斷而來。