VIGIL CONSILIUM
السياق، لا العناوين.
يُعرض جزء من هذه الصفحة بنسخته الإنجليزية المرجعية، إذ لم تُتَح ترجمته بعد. النسخة الإنجليزية

حملة

الجبهة اللبنانية، 2023–2024

أحد عشر شهرًا من النيران العابرة للحدود المرتبطة بغزة، ثم عشرة أسابيع من التصعيد الإسرائيلي حطّمت قيادة حزب الله وانتهت بوقف للأعمال العدائية لم يوقّعه حزب الله.

8 October 2023 – 27 November 2024 إسرائيل–لبنان / الخط الأزرق

منتهية
التقييم حتى
2026-10
آخر مراجعة
2026-10-12

التقييمثقة عالية

سياق، لا استهداف. تصف سجلات الحملات الأهداف والمشاركين والمراحل والنتائج على مستوى التحليل المنشور؛ ولا تتضمن مواقع حالية أو نسب قوى أو مواقع وحدات أو قوامها.

محدد الموقع — مخطط اليابسة من Natural Earth بمقياس 110m (ملكية عامة)؛ 6 أماكن يسمّيها هذا السجل، عند الإحداثيات التي ينشرها الملف أصلًا. لا تُرسم أي طرق أو حدود أو سيطرة أو نشاط.

ما كانت هذه الحملة

The Israel–Hezbollah war from Hezbollah's "support front" of 8 October 2023 to the cessation of 27 November 2024: a year of cross-border fire, then Israel's Northern Arrows campaign and ground operation. It set the terms — arms monopoly, phased withdrawal — that carried into 2026.

The campaign broke the linkage between the Lebanon front and Gaza that Hezbollah had maintained for a year, removed much of its senior leadership, and produced the 2024 cessation — the text whose terms the Lebanese cabinet decisions of 2025 and the 2026 instruments carried forward. The five positions Israel retained after February 2025 became Hezbollah's stated reason not to disarm and Lebanon's first demand in every later round.

الثقة: عالية حتى 2026-10رُوجع 2026-10-12

ملخص

Hezbollah began firing on Israeli positions in the Shebaa Farms area on 8 October 2023, stating it acted in support of Gaza. Nearly a year of cross-border exchanges followed, and communities on both sides of the Blue Line were evacuated. In September 2024 Israel's security cabinet made the return of northern residents a war aim, and on 23 September Israel launched an air campaign across Lebanon under the name "Northern Arrows". Hezbollah's Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah was killed in an Israeli strike in Beirut's southern suburbs on 27 September, and Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon began on 1 October, which the IDF described as limited and targeted. The United States and France announced a cessation of hostilities effective 27 November 2024, under which Lebanon undertook to confine arms to official forces, starting south of the Litani, and Israel to withdraw within 60 days as the Lebanese army deployed, with a US-chaired Mechanism to monitor it. Hezbollah was not a party.

الأهداف المعلنة

ما يقوله المشاركون. يذكر كل بند الموضع الذي أُعلن فيه الموقف؛ ويسجل Vigil أنه صدر، لا أنه صحيح.

القوات الرئيسية

القوات المقابلة

  • التنظيم العسكري لحزب الله قوة مقابلة · الثقة: عالية · حتى 2024-11
  • قوة الرضوان قوة مقابلة · الثقة: متوسطة · حتى 2024-09

    Named in IDF statements as the target of the 20 September 2024 strike in Beirut's southern suburbs that killed the Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Aqil, whose death Hezbollah acknowledged. Its structure and strength are not established in open sources and are not described here.

الداعمون والأطراف الخارجية

  • فرقة الجليل 91 Supporting force · Confidence: High · as of 2024-10

    The territorial division on the Lebanon border; held the line during the year of cross-border fire and began operations inside Lebanon in early October 2024, according to IDF statements.

  • الفرقة 98 القوة الداعمة · الثقة: متوسطة · حتى 2024-10

    Reported by the IDF among the first formations in the ground operation from 1 October 2024.

  • الفرقة 36 القوة الداعمة · الثقة: متوسطة · حتى 2024-10

    Reported by the IDF as joining the ground operation in early October 2024.

  • الفرقة 146 Supporting force · Confidence: High · as of 2024-10

    The IDF announced on 8 October 2024 that the 146th, a reserve division, had begun operations in southern Lebanon — the first reserve division to do so in that campaign.

  • سلاح الجو الإسرائيلي Supporting force · Confidence: High · as of 2024-11

    Northern Arrows opened as an air campaign across Lebanon on 23 September 2024. No strike-target detail is carried.

الأطراف المتأثرة

  • قوة الأمم المتحدة المؤقتة في لبنان (اليونيفيل) طرف متأثر · الثقة: عالية · حتى 2024-11

    Deployed between the Blue Line and the Litani throughout. UNIFIL reported its positions hit and peacekeepers injured during the ground operation in October 2024. The cessation of November 2024 placed it in the Mechanism.

  • الجيش اللبناني طرف متأثر · الثقة: عالية · حتى 2024-11

    Not a party to the fighting; lost personnel to Israeli strikes during the campaign, and under the cessation became the force meant to deploy south of the Litani as Israel withdrew.

المراحل

8 October 2023 – September 2024 الثقة: عالية

Hezbollah's support front

Hezbollah opened fire on 8 October 2023, stating it acted in support of Gaza. Nearly a year of cross-border exchanges followed, largely within the border belt, and communities on both sides of the Blue Line were evacuated, which made their return a war aim and a negotiating term.

المصادر: Statements by Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Hezbollah and allied armed organisations · UN Security Council resolutions, Secretary-General reports and meeting records (Levant)↗ · Reuters↗

23 September – 26 November 2024 الثقة: عالية

Northern Arrows and the ground operation

Israel launched an air campaign across Lebanon on 23 September 2024 under the name "Northern Arrows". Hassan Nasrallah was killed on 27 September, and ground operations in southern Lebanon began on 1 October, which the IDF described as limited, targeted and geographically confined.

المصادر: Israel Defense Forces — Spokesperson's Unit announcements↗ · UN Security Council resolutions, Secretary-General reports and meeting records (Levant)↗ · Reuters↗

27 November 2024 – 18 February 2025 الثقة: عالية

The cessation and the positions Israel retained

The cessation took effect on 27 November 2024 with a 60-day withdrawal period, later extended to 18 February 2025. Israel then withdrew from most of southern Lebanon but kept five hilltop positions north of the Blue Line, and the UN reports it also maintained two "buffer zones" there.

المصادر: Treaty and agreement texts — Israel, Palestine, Lebanon and neighbours↗ · UN Security Council resolutions, Secretary-General reports and meeting records (Levant)↗ · Israel Defense Forces — Spokesperson's Unit announcements↗

النتيجة والوضع الحالي

Concluded by the cessation of hostilities of 27 November 2024. Hezbollah lost much of its senior leadership and its linkage of the front to Gaza, and the Lebanese state took on an obligation to confine arms to official forces. Israel withdrew in February 2025 except from five positions, and the front reopened in March 2026, when the cessation was overtaken without being formally terminated.

التداعيات السياسية

A weakened Hezbollah and a new Lebanese government made the 2025 cabinet decisions on the monopoly of arms possible.

التداعيات العسكرية

The cessation's sequence — Lebanese deployment matched by Israeli withdrawal under a US-chaired monitor — is the template the 2026 Framework reworked.

ما لا يزال مجهولًا

  • Whether the cessation's disarmament obligation covers all of Lebanon or only the area south of the Litani is disputed between Israel and Hezbollah.
  • Casualty figures for the period vary between Lebanese, Israeli and UN sources and are not combined in this record.
  • The full order of battle on either side is not published; the formations named are those named in official statements.

قراءات تدعمها الأدلة أيضًا

  • The cessation can be read as Hezbollah's defeat on the front it opened, or as a pause that left both its arms north of the Litani and its political position intact. The record of 2025–2026 is consistent with elements of both.

مُدرجة لأن تقييم السجل نفسه ليس التقييم الوحيد الذي تسمح به مصادره — لا بوصفها تحوّطًا من التقييم أعلاه.

اعرض القوة التي تدير هذه الحملة في «استكشف» تفاعلي: اختر هذا السجل وتتبّع ما يرتبط به.

التقييم حتى — 2026-10 آخر مراجعة — 2026-10-12

سجلات مرتبطة

15 سجلات تذكرها هذه الحملة أو تذكر هذه الحملة — وكلٌّ منها إشارة صريحة في سجل منشور، ولا شيء فيها مُستنتَج من الموضوع.

الأرض التي تجري عليها1