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Relationship record

Ansar Allah (Houthi movement) — The United States in the Gulf

Two parties that fought over the Red Sea in 2024–25, stopped under an Omani understanding, and have kept out of each other's way through the 2026 war.

Adversarial Since 2023-11

Dormant
Assessed as of
2026-09-13
Last reviewed
2026-09-14

AssessmentModerate confidence

A described arrangement, not a rating. Vigil publishes no measure of how strong, warm or hostile a relationship is, and no relationship on this site carries a score, a trend or a direction of travel. What is recorded is what the arrangement covers, when it began, what has changed it, and how firmly each of those is established.

In short

The Houthi movement and the United States exchanged strikes over Red Sea shipping from late 2023 until an Oman-mediated understanding in May 2025. Through the 2026 war neither has struck the other, and the movement's campaign has been against Saudi Arabia. Vigil records the relationship as dormant, not resolved.

A symmetric arrangement: it reads the same from either side. Authored once, on one record.

The arrangement

Status
DormantFormally in force but not operating — a treaty nobody invokes, a body that does not meet.Last material change: 2025-05.
What it covers
DefenceCounter-terrorismCategories the arrangement is documented to include. Not a measure: a relationship covering more of them is described in more detail, not held more firmly.

Summary

From November 2023 the Houthi movement attacked commercial shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden; the United States led a coalition naval response from December 2023 and conducted strikes in Yemen from January 2024, and a further campaign in March–May 2025 that ended with an Oman-mediated understanding under which the two sides stopped targeting each other. The movement did not renounce action against other parties. Through the 2026 war it engaged selectively against Israel and, from July, opened a campaign against Saudi shipping and territory; the United States Fifth Fleet continues to command the coalition structures whose water the movement now sits beside, and United States officials were reported in September 2026 to have offered Saudi Arabia intelligence support while declining direct strikes on the Houthis. No strike by either party on the other has been recorded since May 2025.

Why it matters

Whether the Bab el-Mandeb advance becomes a coalition problem rather than a Saudi one turns on this relationship. The movement has kept Saudi shipping as its declared exception and left everyone else's alone; the United States has kept its war to Iran and left Yemen alone. Either boundary failing would change what the outlet of the Hormuz bypass depends on.

Agreements

  • Oman-mediated United States–Houthi understanding · signed 2025-05

    Announced by Oman as a mutual undertaking not to target each other, including United States vessels in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb. No text published; it did not cover the movement's action against other parties.

Organisations

Structures through which this relationship operates. Not parties to it — the parties are the two actors above.

Places

Markers this module already publishes. This record adds no geographic precision of its own.

What remains unknown

  • The two parties characterise the 2023–25 campaign incompatibly — the movement as action against shipping linked to Israel and its supporters, the United States (which designated the movement a foreign terrorist organisation in 2025) as attacks on international shipping. Vigil adopts neither characterisation.
  • The content of the May 2025 understanding is known only from Oman's announcement and the parties' statements; whether it covers the coalition task forces as such is not established.
  • The reported September 2026 United States decision not to strike the Houthis rests on unnamed officials; no government has published it.

Readings the evidence also supports

  • The absence of a United States strike since May 2025 is consistent with an observed understanding, with a deliberate boundary around the Iran war, and with a lack of occasion; the record does not choose.

Listed because the record's own assessment is not the only one its sources permit — not as a hedge on the assessment above.

Watch questions this relationship bears on

Standing analytical questions whose evidence runs through this relationship, each with its latest review. Derived from the Watch object, never restated here.

All Iran–Gulf relationships Open in Explore

Assessed as of — 2026-09-13 Last reviewed — 2026-09-14