A long-standing armed adversarial relationship that became a maritime one in July 2026.
Relationships
The standing arrangements between the actors in this module, each as a record with its own dates, sources and confidence: what the arrangement covers, when it began, what last changed it, and what remains unclear. Vigil publishes no measure of how strong or how hostile a relationship is — the description and its evidence are the record.
A mutually declared adversarial relationship since 1979, in open armed conflict since 2026.
A declared adversarial relationship standing since 1980, in open armed conflict since 28 February 2026.
Bahrain hosts the United States Navy's Fifth Fleet and the Combined Maritime Forces under a long-standing bilateral arrangement.
Kuwait hosts the principal United States logistics and airlift concentration in the region under a bilateral arrangement.
Qatar hosts the forward headquarters of United States Central Command under a bilateral arrangement.
A joint defence agreement signed in Mecca on 7 August 2026, with terms that have not been published.
A joint defence agreement signed in Mecca on 7 August 2026, with terms that have not been published.
A Strategic Defense Agreement signed in November 2025, with Saudi Arabia designated a major non-NATO ally.
Established in 1971 and never interrupted — the most durable Iran channel in the Gulf.
The Gulf's most active Iran channel, maintained through the 2026 war and used for mediation.
Relations restored in 2023 after seven years of rupture, and not formally severed by the 2026 war.
Relations held at a reduced level since 2016 and suspended when the UAE closed its embassy in Tehran on 1 March 2026.
Iran's external oil earnings depend on Chinese buyers to a degree no other market replaces.
A founding member, and the member that carried the Council’s case to the Security Council.
Iran's safeguards relationship with the IAEA is suspended in practice: the Agency stopped verification activities on 28 February 2026 and has inspected one power reactor since.
A founding member, and the member whose civilian infrastructure the war hit hardest.
A founding member that has kept an independent Iran policy throughout.
A founding member, blockaded by three fellow members between 2017 and 2021.
A founding member, and the member whose 2026 security choices ran outside the Council.
A founding member whose 2026 energy and security choices diverged sharply from its partners.
A long-reported supply relationship whose current content, and whose degree of direction, Vigil cannot establish.
The European Union reimposed its restrictive measures on Iran by Council decision on 29 September 2025.
A standing United States sanctions architecture on Iran, extended during the 2026 war to buyers of Iranian oil.
Normalised in 2020 and deepened during the 2026 war, when Israeli air-defence systems were deployed to Emirati territory.
A dispute over Abu Musa and the Greater and Lesser Tunbs, standing since 1971.
Descriptive records, not ratings. There is no field anywhere in this layer for relationship strength, warmth, hostility or direction of travel, and none may be added. Change is carried by the validity period, the recorded last material change and the linked events — each of which a reader can check. See the methodology.