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戰役

十二日戰爭,2025年6月

十二天確立了國家對國家的直接交火,此後核查人員再也沒有返回。

13 – 24 June 2025

已結束
評估截至
2026-09
最後檢視
2026-09-04

評估高信心

提供背景,而非指引目標。戰役紀錄在已發表分析的層級上描述目標、參與方、階段與結果;其中不包含任何當前陣地、兵力對比、部隊位置或兵力規模。

此戰役是什麼

Israel began strikes on Iran on 13 June 2025 and the United States struck three nuclear facilities on 22 June; a ceasefire was announced on 24 June. It is a separate, concluded conflict — and the point after which IAEA access to the struck sites was never restored.

Two things carry forward. It established direct exchange between Iran and Israel as the pattern, eight months before the 2026 campaign opened. And it is the event after which the International Atomic Energy Agency lost access to the sites it had been verifying — the last inventory it verified dates from 13 June 2025, the day the strikes began, and the Agency has been unable to account for that material since.

信心:高 截至2026-09檢視於2026-09-04

摘要

Israel initiated strikes against Iran on 13 June 2025. The United States conducted strikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities on 22 June, described by United States officials as narrowly tailored to destroy or severely degrade the nuclear programme. A ceasefire was announced on 24 June. The conflict is recorded here at the level needed to explain what followed it and no further: a detailed reconstruction belongs to a module about that conflict, which this is not.

主要部隊

  • 以色列國防軍 主要部隊 · 信心:中等 · 截至2025-06

    The source names Israel; the organisational identification is Vigil's.

  • 美軍中央司令部 主要部隊 · 信心:中等 · 截至2025-06

    Struck three nuclear facilities on 22 June 2025. The regional command is Vigil's institutional identification; no US component is named by the source.

對立部隊

  • 伊斯蘭革命衛隊 對立部隊 · 信心:高 · 截至2025-06
  • 伊斯蘭革命衛隊空天軍 對立部隊 · 信心:中等 · 截至2025-06

    Named at service level because the evidence names it: the opening Israeli strike killed the Aerospace Force's commander together with the commanders of its drone, surface-to-surface missile and air-defence wings, reportedly as they met to plan Iran's response. The 2026 campaign carries no equivalent service-level participant, because no source this module has read names one.

結果與目前狀態

Concluded with an announced ceasefire on 24 June 2025. Iranian nuclear verification access was not restored afterwards, and eight months later a larger campaign opened.

仍然未知的事項

  • The damage to Iran's nuclear programme is disputed at the highest level: a leaked Defense Intelligence Agency preliminary assessment reportedly put the setback at months, while the CIA Director and the Director of National Intelligence circulated statements suggesting more severe damage. This module authors no assessment of the damage.
  • This record covers the conflict only as far as it explains the present system. Its own chronology, casualties and military course are not authored.

在探索中檢視執行此戰役的部隊 互動式:選取此紀錄並追蹤與其關聯的內容。

評估截至 — 2026-09 最近檢視 — 2026-09-04

Compared with The 2026 interstate war

Two campaigns in this module, set beside each other on the fields both records carry. Nothing here is derived, scored or ranked.

The same three belligerents eight months apart, and the differences are the finding. June 2025 ran twelve days, was aimed at the nuclear programme and ended in an announced ceasefire; this one has run six months, has been aimed at the whole Iranian state and has reorganised the region's energy and shipping. Reading them together shows what changed between a strike campaign and a war — and that the interval between them was long enough for the snapback to happen inside it.

Comparison of The twelve-day war, June 2025 and The 2026 interstate war on canonical record fields
Field十二日戰爭,2025年6月2026年國家間戰爭
Period13 – 24 June 2025自2026年2月28日起
狀態已結束持續進行中
機制十二天確立了國家對國家的直接交火,此後核查人員再也沒有返回。一場在2月的一個早晨展開的打擊行動,在六個月內重組了一個區域的能源、航運與安全格局。
Places in the recordnot recorded5個地點
Phases on filenot recorded4
目前狀況Concluded with an announced ceasefire on 24 June 2025. Iranian nuclear verification access was not restored afterwards, and eight months later a larger campaign opened.Ongoing at the research cutoff of 4 September 2026, with no agreement in force. Vigil states where the campaign stands and makes no claim about how it ends.
Humanitarian effectnot recordedA United States strike on a school at Minab killed 168 people, most of them children, on the opening day. Approximately 20,000 seafarers were stranded aboard vessels unable to move, and the maritime regulator has confirmed 17 seafarer deaths.
狀態截至2026-092026-09
信心 信心:高 信心:高

Both records are campaign records in the same module and are read here on their own terms. Similar mechanisms at different scales are not the same phenomenon, and this table is arranged to make the differences as visible as the resemblance.

相關紀錄

此戰役所提及、或提及此戰役的紀錄共5筆——每一筆都是已發布紀錄中的明確引用,沒有任何一筆是依主題推斷而來。