What this system is
Syria's usable crude is in the north-east, its refineries are on the west coast and at Homs, and for a decade the two ends were under separate authorities. Available generation is under a third of pre-war capacity, making fuel and electricity the most visible daily measure of whether the transition delivers.
The most visible daily measure of whether the transition delivers: fuel at the pump and hours of electricity, and the seam between the north-east's resources and the west's refineries that the integration question turns on.
Confidence: Moderate As of 2026-09Reviewed 2026-10-03
The system
- Overview
- The system is the north-east's fields and gas plants, the refineries at Baniyas and Homs, the coastal terminals, and the generation that depends on gas-fired plant. The fuel-and-power logistics record carries the import side — Iraqi fuel oil trucked across Syria and loaded at Baniyas, which the state oil company put at 2.123 million tonnes by mid-September 2026, a transit role the module records as documented but not yet durable — and the north-east transfer chain carries what the integration of the north-east's fields under the transitional government means for energy. On 18 August 2026 an explosion halted pumping on the gas export pipeline from the al-Jabsa plant in Hasakah; the state oil company said preliminary investigation indicated sabotage, and no party has been identified.
- Current state · as of 2026-09
- As the fuel-and-power record last assessed it (September 2026, reviewed 27 September): generation under a third of pre-war capacity, the Baniyas fuel-oil transit documented, the al-Jabsa pipeline sabotaged in August with the shortfall to gas-fired generation covered from other sources while repairs proceeded.
- Commodities and outputs
- Oil & gas (northeast fields) · Electricity & fuel
Nodes
The published markers that carry this system value, by the module’s own priority. A note is the system record’s; a marker without one is a member by its own tag.
- Northeast oil fields (broad area)Mining area · broad region
The broad area the module publishes for the north-east's usable crude and gas; no field-level marker exists by rule.
Named by the record through one of its routes, under another system tag:
- BaniyasMajor city
Refinery town and coastal terminal; since April 2026 the loading point for Iraqi fuel oil.
Routes and operators
Supply systems running through it
- Fuel and power supplyFuel imports · 7 nodes · 3 documented disruptions · named by the recordA country that sits on its own oil and still cannot keep the lights on — because the fields, the refineries and the authority over them were three different things.
- Grain, irrigation and breadFood supply · 6 nodes · 3 documented disruptions · joined by its nodesBread is the oldest political commitment in Syria, and the wheat that makes it grows in the one region the state spent a decade not controlling.
Organisations that run it
- Syrian Petroleum CompanyState enterprise · ActiveThe state oil company that operates the north-east's gas export pipeline and reports the fuel-oil transit through Baniyas — the organisation at the seam between the north-east's crude and the west's refineries.
Dependencies and constraints
Each marked documented (a published source states it) or assessed (Vigil infers it and says so). The two are never drawn the same way.
Integration of the north-east's fields under one authority. Crude is in the north-east and refining in the west; the two ends were under separate authorities for a decade, and the transfer chain carries what integration changes.
Imported fuel through the coastal terminals. Domestic refining does not cover demand; the Baniyas fuel-oil transit and imports through the coast are documented, not yet durable.
Available generation is under a third of pre-war capacity.
An explosion halted pumping on the gas export pipeline from the al-Jabsa plant; the state oil company said preliminary investigation indicated sabotage, and no party has been identified.
Transmission chains through this system
Each step carries its own basis grade — Confirmed, Plausible exposure, Unconfirmed scenario — and a chain can only weaken from left to right.
- Northeast asset transfer → fuel, power and state revenueEconomic exposure · as of 2026-08
- asset Confirmed
- disruption Confirmed
- exposure Confirmed
- significance Plausible exposure
- Grain procurement transfer → the bread subsidy → household food accessCivilian impact · as of 2026-06
- asset Confirmed
- disruption Confirmed
- exposure Confirmed
- significance Plausible exposure
Watch questions bearing on it
- Does the northeast integration hold after the dissolution — payrolls, civilian files, named commands?active · No material change 2026-09-27
- Do Russia's bases stay?active · Assessment changed 2026-09-27
Events at its nodes
Economic exposures it underlies
Actors and arrangements
What remains unknown
- No field-level production figure is published by the module; the broad marker and the state company's own statements are what the record rests on.
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Assessed as of — 2026-09 Last reviewed — 2026-10-03