What this system is
Batumi and Poti, the Georgian ports at the western end of the trans- Caspian corridor — two markers, no system record yet.
Confidence: Moderate As of 2026-08Reviewed 2026-10-03
Nodes
The published markers that carry this system value, by the module’s own priority. A note is the system record’s; a marker without one is a member by its own tag.
Routes and operators
Supply systems running through it
- The Middle Corridor — east–west trade transitGeneral trade · 8 nodes · 3 documented disruptions · named by the recordThe overland route between China and Europe that avoids both Russia and Iran, and which works in the places where it has actually been built.
- Armenian external access — two borders open, two closedGeneral trade · 10 nodes · 6 documented disruptions · joined by its nodesA landlocked country whose shortest routes to the world have been shut for thirty years, and what that does to everything else.
- Caspian energy export — the westward pipeline systemFuel imports · 5 nodes · 3 documented disruptions · joined by its nodesThe reason this small region has the attention of capitals that could not otherwise place it: oil and gas going west without crossing Russia or Iran.
Transmission chains through this system
Each step carries its own basis grade — Confirmed, Plausible exposure, Unconfirmed scenario — and a chain can only weaken from left to right.
- Closed borders → narrow transit → Armenian economic costEconomic exposure · as of 2026-06
- asset Confirmed
- disruption Confirmed
- exposure Confirmed
- significance Plausible exposure
- Blockade → displacement → the files that outlast itCivilian impact · as of 2026-08
- asset Confirmed
- disruption Confirmed
- exposure Confirmed
- significance Plausible exposure
- Transit concentration in Georgia → regional economic exposureEconomic exposure · as of 2026-06
- asset Confirmed
- disruption Confirmed
- exposure Confirmed
- significance Plausible exposure
Watch questions bearing on it
- Does Georgia's EU track move from penalised to suspended — or reverse?active · No material change 2026-09-27
- Does the Armenia–Türkiye border open?active · No material change 2026-09-27
- Has TRIPP moved from framework and survey into construction?active · Movement observed 2026-09-28
- Is Armenia's economic tie to Russia changing by institutional act rather than by pressure and statement?active · Baseline 2026-09-28
Economic exposures it underlies
What remains unknown
- Structural stub. The ports' role is carried by the Middle Corridor record.
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Assessed as of — 2026-08 Last reviewed — 2026-10-03