Coverage · South Caucasus

Caucasus

Relationships

The standing arrangements between the actors in this module, each as a record with its own dates, sources and confidence: what the arrangement covers, when it began, what last changed it, and what remains unclear.

South Caucasus / North Caucasus Regional system Published

Published
Coverage reviewed
2026-10-11

Weekly review / event-driven updates

Vigil publishes no measure of how strong or how hostile a relationship is — the description and its evidence are the record.

01

Alliance

1 record
02

Basing arrangement

3 records
03

Diplomatic relations

4 records

A border Iran will not see severed, a corridor Baku wants across it, and a relationship that has been ruptured and repaired once already this decade.

Active Since 1991-12 Last change 2025-08 Confidence: Moderate Assessed as of 2026-08 Last reviewed 2026-10-11

DiplomaticTradeInfrastructureEnergy
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04

Economic dependency

7 records
05

Economic partnership

3 records

The quietest important relationship in the region: no dispute, no ideology, and every westbound pipeline in the Caucasus running through it.

Active Since 2006-07 Confidence: High Assessed as of 2026-06 Last reviewed 2026-09-01

EnergyTradeInfrastructureDiplomatic
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06

Membership candidacy

1 record
07

Institutional membership

2 records
08

Security cooperation

1 record
09

Territorial dispute

1 record

A dispute that changed subject rather than ending — from the status of Karabakh to the line of a border that has barely been drawn.

Active Since 1988-02 Last change 2026-08 Confidence: High Assessed as of 2026-08 Last reviewed 2026-10-14

DiplomaticLegal and treaty
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Descriptive records, not ratings. There is no field anywhere in this layer for relationship strength, warmth, hostility or direction of travel, and none may be added. Change is carried by the validity period, the recorded last material change and the linked events — each of which a reader can check. See the methodology.