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Relationship record

Azerbaijan — Russia in the Caucasus

A declaration of allied interaction signed two days before the invasion of Ukraine, and a relationship that has been managed, not aligned, ever since.

Diplomatic relations Since 2022-02-22

Active
Assessed as of
2026-08
Last reviewed
2026-09-14

AssessmentModerate confidence

A described arrangement, not a rating. Vigil publishes no measure of how strong, warm or hostile a relationship is, and no relationship on this site carries a score, a trend or a direction of travel. What is recorded is what the arrangement covers, when it began, what has changed it, and how firmly each of those is established.

In short

Azerbaijan and Russia signed a Declaration on Allied Interaction in February 2022, two days before the invasion of Ukraine. The relationship since has been managed rather than aligned: the Karabakh peacekeepers left in 2024, and the December 2024 airliner shoot-down opened a crisis Moscow closed with an admission.

A symmetric arrangement: it reads the same from either side. Authored once, on one record.

The arrangement

Status
ActiveIn force and operating. Says nothing about how well it is working, or about which way it is heading.Last material change: 2025-10.
What it covers
DiplomaticDefenceTradeEnergyCategories the arrangement is documented to include. Not a measure: a relationship covering more of them is described in more detail, not held more firmly.

Summary

Baku and Moscow signed the Declaration on Allied Interaction on 22 February 2022; its content, on the published summaries, is consultation, economic and transport cooperation and a mutual-respect clause rather than a defence commitment, and Vigil records it as an instrument short of alliance. The relationship it framed has been managed rather than aligned. The Russian peacekeeping contingent that the 2020 trilateral statement placed in Karabakh left early, in 2024, after the September 2023 offensive made its mission moot. On 25 December 2024 an Azerbaijan Airlines airliner was hit over Russian airspace near Grozny and crashed at Aktau; President Aliyev publicly demanded acknowledgement, and through 2025 the crisis widened — the deaths of Azerbaijani citizens in a Russian police operation in June 2025, the arrest of Russian state-media staff in Baku, cancelled cultural events — until, in October 2025 in Dushanbe, President Putin acknowledged that Russian air defence had been involved and promised compensation. Trade, the north–south transport corridor through Azerbaijan to Iran and the Upper Lars crossing continued throughout. Vigil records the sequence and does not characterise the relationship as either alliance or hostility.

Why it matters

Azerbaijan is the one state in the module that Russia neither guarantees nor threatens, and the corridor politics of 2025 cannot be read without that: Baku accepted an American-run transit project across Armenia in the same year its relationship with Moscow was at its lowest, and Moscow's formal objection to the TRIPP framework is the objection of a partner whose monopoly on regional mediation the declaration was supposed to preserve.

Agreements

  • Declaration on Allied Interaction between Azerbaijan and Russia · signed 2022-02-22

    Signed in Moscow two days before the invasion of Ukraine. Published summaries describe consultation and cooperation clauses; no defence commitment is described, and the text has not been read.

Related events

What remains unknown

  • The declaration's full text and whatever consultation obligations it contains are not authored.
  • Compensation and any accountability that followed the October 2025 acknowledgement are reported by the parties and have not been verified independently; nothing since the last review is recorded here.

Readings the evidence also supports

  • The 2025 rupture can be read as a genuine break, or as Baku's use of a grievance to widen its room for manoeuvre toward Washington and Ankara at Moscow's expense; the sequence is consistent with both.

Listed because the record's own assessment is not the only one its sources permit — not as a hedge on the assessment above.

Watch questions this relationship bears on

Standing analytical questions whose evidence runs through this relationship, each with its latest review. Derived from the Watch object, never restated here.

All Caucasus relationships Open in Explore

Assessed as of — 2026-08 Last reviewed — 2026-09-14