Baku and Yerevan publish an inventory of what normalisation has delivered

What happened

President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan met on the margins of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Bishkek on 31 August 2026 and issued a joint press statement. It records the export of Azerbaijani petroleum products to Armenia, the transit through Azerbaijani territory to Armenia of grain and other third-country goods, and the establishment of trade relations between the two states as practical results of the process; notes the role of the two state commissions on border delimitation and the importance of continuing their work; records discussion of further practical steps on implementing the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity and of connectivity projects along it; and welcomes parliamentary and civil-society contacts. It restates the significance of the Washington summit of 8 August 2025 and of the initialled text of the peace agreement. The statement announces no signature of that agreement, sets no date for one, and does not mention Azerbaijan's stated constitutional precondition.

The interest of this document is its inventory. For two years the file has been assessed on an instrument that does not exist — an unsigned treaty — and this is the first jointly published account of what the two governments say the process has actually produced instead: fuel moving one way, grain moving the other, commissions meeting, a route being surveyed. Read plainly, the parties are building the economic content of a normalisation before its legal frame, which is the reverse of the sequence the treaty logic assumes and is considerably harder to reverse than a signature would be. Two limits belong with that reading. Everything listed is the parties' own account of their own progress, published jointly and unverified from outside, and a joint statement records what both sides were willing to say in the same room rather than what either has undertaken to do. And the omissions are as legible as the contents: the precondition that has blocked signature since 2024 is absent from a text that otherwise reviews the whole file, which is consistent with it having been set aside and equally consistent with it having been unmentionable. The observable is whether the delimitation commissions publish an agreed segment, or the constitutional question reappears in either government's own language.

Confidence: High