巴勒斯坦自治政府 → 以色列與黎凡特

摘要

Israel collects customs, VAT and purchase tax on goods destined for the Palestinian territories and passes them to the PA as clearance revenue, historically its largest source of income, minus a handling fee and deductions. The World Bank's May 2026 monitoring report states that clearance revenues have been "suspended completely since May 2025". The PA paid public wages at 50–70 per cent of the commitment basis through 2025 and a flat NIS 2,000 to all employees for January 2026, three months late. The 2025 deficit was $1.03bn before grants, with a financing gap of about $1.3bn after Israeli deductions, 7.7 per cent of GDP; the Bank puts the 2026 gap at $3.8bn if clearance stays halted. It notes that transfers and deductions "remain disputed" and that no reconciled accounting exists. Israeli finance-ministry statements still describe a monthly cycle of collection, deduction and freezing; on 27 April 2026 the ministry reported deducting about NIS 590m of more than NIS 740m collected against PA utility debts and freezing the rest. On 8 June 2026 the Knesset passed, by 29 votes to 5, an amendment to the 2018 Freezing Law under which an additional yearly deduction is set by the security cabinet on the finance minister's report. The PA Finance Ministry called September 2026 the 17th consecutive month of withholding. The correspondent-banking link between Israeli and Palestinian banks, which runs on Israeli finance-ministry indemnity letters, is to continue to the end of 2026, according to the Bank of Israel's deputy governor; the World Bank notes extensions recently granted two weeks at a time. The PLO Executive Committee put the withheld total at about $7bn when it postponed Palestinian elections on 10 October 2026.

為何重要

This is the PA's most acute constraint and the clearest lever any Israeli government holds over it. Two decisions fall to the government formed after the election of 27 October 2026: the first yearly deduction under the new law, and whether the banking channel survives the end of 2026.

相關事件

• 巴勒斯坦自治政府成立，並建立巴黎議定書的清關稅收制度 1994年4月29日 – 5月4日

  Political · Economic

• 以色列暫停向巴勒斯坦自治政府移轉清關稅收 2025年5月

  Economic · Political

• 以色列國會將對巴勒斯坦清關稅收的扣款寫入法律 2026年6月8日

  Economic · Political

• 巴勒斯坦總統與立法選舉延至2027年9月 2026年10月10日

  政治

仍然未知的事項

• The 8 June 2026 law is an amendment to the 2018 Freezing Law, bill no. 1124, published on 10 June 2026, according to the Knesset Shkufa tracker of Knesset data; its English title is a translation, and the Reshumot text has not been read. No deduction amount has yet been set under it.
• The PA's cumulative "withheld" figure and Israeli statements of amounts deducted or frozen measure different things and are not compared.
• The correspondent-banking continuation rests on a reported interview; no written Bank of Israel or finance-ministry instrument was found, and its length and form are not established.
• Whether the Norwegian holding arrangement for the Gaza share still operates is not established.

證據同樣支持的其他解讀

• Israel's finance ministry presents the freeze as a response to the PA's international moves and its payments to prisoners' families; the PA and donors describe it as collective financial pressure. Both are attributed.
• Partial salaries measure fiscal stress, not institutional collapse; the PA continues to function on donor support, which the World Bank put at $938m in 2025.

列出這些解讀，是因為該紀錄本身的評估並非其來源所允許的唯一評估 — 而不是對上述評估的保留。