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國家行為者

歐亞經濟聯盟

俄羅斯及結盟結構 經濟聯盟 · 成員資格存在爭議

最後檢視
2026-09-28

評估高信心

數據各自帶有不確定性。戰時的人口、經濟與軍費數據均為估計值,且常有爭議;下列每項數據都標示其截至日期與信心等級,領導職位則反映最後檢視日期,並可能在未經通知的情況下變動。

此行為者是什麼

由俄羅斯主導的關稅同盟與單一市場,亞美尼亞於2015年加入且至今仍是成員——而自2026年5月起,也是其他成員國藉以要求亞美尼亞在它與歐盟之間作出選擇的機構。

信心:高 檢視於2026-09-28

高加索的成員Armenia only, a full member since 2 January 2015. Azerbaijan and Georgia are not members截至2026-09 · 信心:高
What membership carriesA customs union with a common external tariff set by the Eurasian Economic Commission; free movement of goods, with sanitary and phytosanitary exceptions; and work without permits for members' citizens截至2026-09 · 信心:高 Treaty on the Eurasian Economic Union, Articles 25, 29, 42, 56 and 97. Article 35 places free-trade agreements with third parties in the Union's competence, which is the legal reason a bilateral EU free-trade agreement is not available to a member. 來源: Eurasian Economic Union official texts and statements↗
The Astana statementOn 29 May 2026 the presidents of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan called for an Armenian referendum on EU accession or continued membership, and commissioned a report for the December 2026 Supreme Council on the consequences of suspending the Treaty's application to Armenia截至2026-05 · 信心:高 Armenia did not join the statement. The Treaty provides for withdrawal on a member's own notice (Article 118, twelve months) and contains no procedure for suspending or expelling a member; how a suspension would be effected has not been stated. 來源: Official government statements · Established international media reporting
Armenia's complaintArmenia asked the Eurasian Economic Commission in June 2026 to examine Russia's restrictions on Armenian agricultural products, and said on 8 September that a complaint had been lodged. No finding has been reported截至2026-09 · 信心:中等 來源: Official government statements · Established international media reporting

該組織在此的角色

In this module the EAEU is a membership and a legal regime, not a policy actor with a position of its own. What matters about it is what membership gives Armenia — tariff-free access to the Russian market, work without permits, and the customs-union context in which Russia removed its export duty on gas to Armenia in 2013 — and what it rules out: a free-trade agreement or customs union with anyone else.

僵局

Armenia legislated in 2025 to begin an EU accession process and its prime minister said on 24 August 2026 that an application may soon be made, while stating that Armenia remains a member and has lodged no withdrawal. The other four members' answer of 29 May was to ask for a referendum and to prepare for a decision in December. Each side is asking the other to bear the cost of ending the membership — the same shape as Armenia's CSTO standoff, in an institution that matters far more to its economy.

沒有改變的部分

Armenia still applies the common external tariff, still trades inside the single market and still attends the Union's councils — its prime minister was at the Eurasian Intergovernmental Council in August 2026. The restrictions Russia placed on Armenian produce were imposed inside the Union, under the sanitary exceptions its Treaty allows, and Armenia's answer has been to use the Union's own complaint procedure rather than to leave it.

Not published for Eurasian Economic Union立場(目標、制約、槓桿)

信心:高 High for the Treaty provisions, the membership dates and the Astana statement, which is quoted by the Armenian state news agency and consistent across Armenian and Russian reporting. Moderate for the complaint, which is an Armenian official's account with no Commission record found. The reading of the standoff is Vigil's. 來源: Eurasian Economic Union official texts and statements↗ · Official government statements · Interfax↗ · RFE/RL (Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty)↗ · Established international media reporting 方法論 更正 在探索中開啟

最近檢視 — 2026-09-28

此行為者涉及的Watch問題

證據經由此行為者的常設分析問題,各附最新一次檢視。內容衍生自Watch物件,從不在此重述。

相關紀錄

3 records that Eurasian Economic Union names, or that name it — every one an explicit reference in a published record, nothing inferred from subject matter.

關係1

紀錄中將此行為者列為一方的常設關係,附上紀錄所述的類型、狀態與效期。

提及此行為者的事件1

紀錄中提及此行為者的已註明日期事件。

分析札記1

分析中提及此紀錄的已發布札記。該連結由札記所擁有;這裡是返回它的途徑。