VIGIL CONSILIUM
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يُعرض جزء من هذه الصفحة بنسخته الإنجليزية المرجعية، إذ لم تُتَح ترجمته بعد. النسخة الإنجليزية

فاعل دولتي

الاتحاد الاقتصادي الأوراسي

روسيا والبنى المتحالفة معها اتحاد اقتصادي · عضوية موضع خلاف

آخر مراجعة
2026-09-28

التقييمثقة عالية

تحمل الأرقام قدرًا من عدم اليقين خاصًا بها. فبيانات السكان والاقتصاد والإنفاق العسكري في زمن الحرب تقديرات، وكثيرًا ما تكون موضع خلاف؛ وكل رقم أدناه يعرض تاريخ سريانه ودرجة الثقة الخاصة به، وتعكس المناصب القيادية تاريخ آخر مراجعة وقد تتغيّر دون إشعار.

ما هي هذه الجهة الفاعلة

الاتحاد الجمركي والسوق الموحدة بقيادة روسيا اللذان انضمت إليهما أرمينيا في 2015 ولا تزال عضوًا فيهما — والمؤسسة التي طلب عبرها الأعضاء الآخرون، منذ مايو 2026، أن تختار أرمينيا بينها وبين الاتحاد الأوروبي.

الثقة: عالية رُوجع 2026-09-28

العضوية في القوقازArmenia only, a full member since 2 January 2015. Azerbaijan and Georgia are not membersبتاريخ 2026-09 · الثقة: عالية
What membership carriesA customs union with a common external tariff set by the Eurasian Economic Commission; free movement of goods, with sanitary and phytosanitary exceptions; and work without permits for members' citizensبتاريخ 2026-09 · الثقة: عالية Treaty on the Eurasian Economic Union, Articles 25, 29, 42, 56 and 97. Article 35 places free-trade agreements with third parties in the Union's competence, which is the legal reason a bilateral EU free-trade agreement is not available to a member. المصادر: Eurasian Economic Union official texts and statements↗
The Astana statementOn 29 May 2026 the presidents of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan called for an Armenian referendum on EU accession or continued membership, and commissioned a report for the December 2026 Supreme Council on the consequences of suspending the Treaty's application to Armeniaبتاريخ 2026-05 · الثقة: عالية Armenia did not join the statement. The Treaty provides for withdrawal on a member's own notice (Article 118, twelve months) and contains no procedure for suspending or expelling a member; how a suspension would be effected has not been stated. المصادر: Official government statements · Established international media reporting
Armenia's complaintArmenia asked the Eurasian Economic Commission in June 2026 to examine Russia's restrictions on Armenian agricultural products, and said on 8 September that a complaint had been lodged. No finding has been reportedبتاريخ 2026-09 · الثقة: متوسطة المصادر: Official government statements · Established international media reporting

ما هي المنظمة هنا

In this module the EAEU is a membership and a legal regime, not a policy actor with a position of its own. What matters about it is what membership gives Armenia — tariff-free access to the Russian market, work without permits, and the customs-union context in which Russia removed its export duty on gas to Armenia in 2013 — and what it rules out: a free-trade agreement or customs union with anyone else.

المأزق

Armenia legislated in 2025 to begin an EU accession process and its prime minister said on 24 August 2026 that an application may soon be made, while stating that Armenia remains a member and has lodged no withdrawal. The other four members' answer of 29 May was to ask for a referendum and to prepare for a decision in December. Each side is asking the other to bear the cost of ending the membership — the same shape as Armenia's CSTO standoff, in an institution that matters far more to its economy.

ما لم يتغيّر

Armenia still applies the common external tariff, still trades inside the single market and still attends the Union's councils — its prime minister was at the Eurasian Intergovernmental Council in August 2026. The restrictions Russia placed on Armenian produce were imposed inside the Union, under the sanitary exceptions its Treaty allows, and Armenia's answer has been to use the Union's own complaint procedure rather than to leave it.

Not published for Eurasian Economic Unionالموقف (الأهداف، القيود، النفوذ)

الثقة: عالية High for the Treaty provisions, the membership dates and the Astana statement, which is quoted by the Armenian state news agency and consistent across Armenian and Russian reporting. Moderate for the complaint, which is an Armenian official's account with no Commission record found. The reading of the standoff is Vigil's. المصادر: Eurasian Economic Union official texts and statements↗ · Official government statements · Interfax↗ · RFE/RL (Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty)↗ · Established international media reporting المنهجية التصويبات افتح في وضع الاستكشاف

آخر مراجعة — 2026-09-28

أسئلة Watch المتصلة بهذه الجهة الفاعلة

أسئلة تحليلية دائمة تمر الأدلة الخاصة بها عبر هذه الجهة الفاعلة، ولكلٍّ منها آخر مراجعة لها. مستمدة من سجل Watch، ولا يُعاد ذكرها هنا.

سجلات مرتبطة

3 records that Eurasian Economic Union names, or that name it — every one an explicit reference in a published record, nothing inferred from subject matter.

العلاقات1

علاقات قائمة يسمّي سجلها هذه الجهة الفاعلة طرفًا فيها، مع النوع والحالة والسريان كما يذكرها السجل.

مذكرات تحليلية1

المذكرات المنشورة التي يسمّي تحليلها هذا السجل. المذكرة هي صاحبة الصلة؛ وهذا هو طريق العودة إليها.