Conflict coverage · South Caucasus

Armenia and Azerbaijan conclude a draft peace text

13 Mar 2025Key event

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Military & security

Effects & resilience

DiplomaticArmenia–Azerbaijan / Karabakh legacy

Both governments announce that negotiations on the text of a bilateral peace agreement have concluded — the first agreed draft in three decades of conflict. Signature is not scheduled: Baku conditions it on changes to Armenia's constitution and the formal dissolution of the OSCE Minsk Group structures.

Why it mattersA genuine threshold and a deliberately incomplete one: the text exists, the preconditions keep it unsigned, and the leverage of the stronger party continues to operate between initialling and signature. The gap between "agreed" and "in force" is where the region's risk now lives.

Confidence: HighSources: Reuters · RFE/RL (Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty) · Official government statements · International Crisis GroupMethodology Corrections

Related structure

3 records that this event names, or that name it. Every one is an explicit reference in a published record — nothing here is inferred from subject matter.

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Normalisation trackDelimitation begins and a text is agreed

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Actor records this event names.

Where this fits

This is one entry in the Caucasus timeline. The full Key Events surface carries every dated turning point with its filters and its essential subset, and this event in place shows what came before and after it. How Vigil grades, dates and sources its claims is set out in the methodology.