What happened
Within two weeks of the offensive, over 100,000 people — effectively the entire Armenian population of Karabakh — drive the mountain road to Armenia. Azerbaijan states they may remain or return under Azerbaijani law; virtually none do. UNHCR registers the arrivals in Armenia.
The largest single displacement in the region since the 1990s and the demographic end of a centuries-old community in place — the event around which questions of return, property, heritage and responsibility will orbit for decades, whatever any treaty says.
Confidence: High
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