封鎖 → 流離失所 → 比它存續更久的議題

如何解讀等級

• 已證實 有來源記錄其已經發生。
• 合理可信的曝險 Vigil評估為很可能的機制；尚無其已經發生的紀錄。
• 未經證實的情境 因為值得觀察而列出。並非斷言。

一個步驟的等級永遠不能高於它所依賴的步驟：結果的確立程度不能高於其原因。這項規則在本網站建置時強制執行，而非以人工套用 — 違反它的鏈會導致建置失敗，而不會被發布。

受影響的平民狀況

以一般標籤命名，而非受控詞彙，因此這份清單不會與本模組經濟部分已使用的商品名稱產生偏差。

仍然未知的事項

• Long-term integration outcomes for a displacement of this size and speed are not yet measurable, which is why the final step is graded plausible.
• Conditions during the blockade were reported by agencies with limited access and are characterised differently by the parties.
• The total number of Armenians held in Azerbaijan is stated differently by the parties and by international bodies. The sixteen tried and sentenced in February 2026 are documented; the wider caseload is not agreed.
• Vigil records the sentences, the charges and the parties' and Amnesty International's characterisations of the proceedings, and does not adjudicate the fairness of the trials.
• Heritage assessments are contested and independent survey access has been limited.
• Vigil publishes no casualty or displacement projection for any future scenario.

證據同樣支持的其他解讀

• The characterisation of the September 2023 departure is contested. Azerbaijan describes it as voluntary movement following an offer of integration under Azerbaijani citizenship; Armenia and several international bodies describe it as forced displacement. The physical facts — near-total departure within about ten days — are not in dispute. The characterisation is, and this module records both positions rather than adopting one.
• The blockade's effects are described by Azerbaijan as exaggerated and by humanitarian agencies as severe, with the corridor's status during the period itself contested. Agency reporting is the basis of this record and the disagreement is noted.

列出這些解讀，是因為該紀錄本身的評估並非其來源所允許的唯一評估 — 而不是對上述評估的保留。