Ukraine–Russia
Interstate warAn interstate war reshaping European security.
Each conflict is covered in depth rather than tracked in headlines — the map, the actors, the forces, the history and the economics, cross-linked and sourced. Depth before breadth: a conflict is published only once it meets that standard, and further conflicts follow on the same terms.
ConflictHow does the wider conflict work?
All five published modules are reviewed every week. Each receives a dated weekly brief; quiet weeks explicitly record when no material change was identified.
Vigil currently covers 5 conflicts: Ukraine–Russia in Eastern Europe; Sahel in Central Sahel / West Africa; Caucasus in South Caucasus / North Caucasus; Syria in Levant / Eastern Mediterranean; Taiwan in Indo-Pacific / East Asia. Each is listed in full below, with its latest review.
Coverage orientation only — markers are approximate regional anchors for the conflicts Vigil publishes, not conflict extents or current activity.
An interstate war reshaping European security.
One conflict system across three states, with no single front.
Unresolved wars inside a changing regional system.
A civil-war legacy shaping a regional transition.
A pressure system where deterrence, not fighting, is the subject.
Each conflict opens with where it stands now, what changed in the most recent review, and the questions currently shaping it — then routes into the full record. The dated reviews themselves are collected in the Weekly Brief archive, and the longer explanations of single developments are the Analytical Notes. How Vigil grades, dates and sources its claims is set out in the methodology.