Ukraine–Russia
Interstate warAn interstate war reshaping European security.
Coverage
What Vigil covers
Each area is covered in depth rather than tracked through headlines — its geography, actors, forces, history, economics and institutions, cross-linked and sourced. Depth before breadth: a new area is published only once it meets that standard, and future coverage follows on the same terms.
Coverage areaHow does the wider system work?
Current coverage
All eight published modules are reviewed every week. Each receives a dated weekly brief; quiet weeks explicitly record when no material change was identified.
Vigil currently covers 8 areas: Ukraine–Russia in Eastern Europe; Sahel in Central Sahel / West Africa; Caucasus in South Caucasus / North Caucasus; Syria in Levant / Eastern Mediterranean; Taiwan in Indo-Pacific / East Asia; Iran–Gulf in Gulf / West Asia; Eastern Flank in Northern and Eastern Europe; Levant in Israel, the Palestinian territories and Lebanon. Each is listed in full below, with its latest review.
Coverage orientation only — markers are approximate regional anchors for the areas Vigil publishes, not coverage extents or current activity.
Sahel
Regional systemOne conflict system across three states, with no single front.
Caucasus
Regional systemUnresolved wars inside a changing regional system.
Syria
Regional transitionA civil-war legacy shaping a regional transition.
Taiwan Strait
Strategic flashpointA pressure system where deterrence, not fighting, is the subject.
Iran–Gulf
Regional systemA regional system where energy, water and security run through one strait.
NATO Eastern Flank
Collective defence systemDeterrence, reinforcement and resilience across NATO's eastern theatre.
Levant
Conflict systemA connected system of fronts, borders and arrangements, where security, governance and access decide each other.
How to read these
Each area opens with where it stands now, what changed in the most recent review, and the questions currently shaping it — then routes into the full record. The dated reviews themselves are collected in the Weekly Brief archive, and the longer explanations of single developments are the Analytical Notes. How Vigil grades, dates and sources its claims is set out in the methodology.