發生了什麼
在2022年8月的演習之後,解放軍航空器越過臺灣海峽中線從例外變成常態,北京也公開否認該線作為公認界限的存在。臺灣國防部持續每日公布越線情況。
This is the single clearest illustration of how grey-zone pressure actually works: no announcement, no incident, no threshold crossed — an unwritten restraint observed for half a century simply stopped being observed, and the new normal was never given back. It is also why "no significant change" in a reporting period can still describe deterioration.
信心:高
時間2022年8月起
地點臺灣海峽
類型軍事
場域海峽與海峽中線
信心:高 來源: Taiwan Ministry of National Defense — activity reporting↗ · CSIS China Power Project and ChinaPower analysis↗ · Reuters — Taiwan and China coverage↗ 方法論 更正
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