發生了什麼
賴清德就職數日後，解放軍在臺灣周邊舉行大規模演習，北京將其定調為對其就職演說的懲罰。此後，島嶼周邊偵獲的空中活動大致倍增，臺灣報告的單月總數在高峰時超過300架次。
The step-change in reported activity after May 2024 established the baseline against which everything since is measured — including the partial return toward earlier levels during 2026. Note that these are detections published by one government, not independently measured figures, and the module treats them as such.
信心：高
時間2024年5月
地點臺灣海峽
類型軍事
場域海峽與海峽中線
信心：高 來源： Taiwan Ministry of National Defense — activity reporting↗ · CSIS China Power Project and ChinaPower analysis↗ · Reuters — Taiwan and China coverage↗ 方法論 更正
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