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國家行為者

約旦與敘利亞

外部強權 外部強權 · 南部邊境、Nasib走廊與captagon問題 約旦哈希姆王國

最後檢視
2026-10-29

評估中等信心

數據各自帶有不確定性。戰時的人口、經濟與軍費數據均為估計值,且常有爭議;下列每項數據都標示其截至日期與信心等級,領導職位則反映最後檢視日期,並可能在未經通知的情況下變動。

此行為者是什麼

敘利亞的南方鄰國,也是南部通往海灣的貿易路線所經之國。約旦在整場戰爭期間收容大量敘利亞難民,在阿薩德執政晚期致力於攔截越境的captagon與武器,並自2023年起從空中打擊敘利亞境內其所稱的走私者,自2026年10月起則打擊其所稱的伊斯蘭國據點。約旦於2025年1月與過渡政府同意成立打擊走私與伊斯蘭國的聯合安全委員會;2026年10月26日約旦空襲德拉與蘇韋達——大馬士革表示事前未經協調,德拉衛生局表示造成七名平民死亡——之後,兩國外交部長同意有迫切需要成立這樣的委員會。約旦也曾主辦2026年8月23日由美國調解的以色列–敘利亞會談,但並非會談的一方。

信心:中等 檢視於2026-10-29

The crossingNasib–Jaber on the Damascus–Amman highway — the south's trade gate to Jordan and the Gulf and a principal route for returns; closed to passenger and commercial traffic for one day on 27 October 2026 after the Jordanian strikes, with traffic reported back to normal on the morning of 28 October截至2026-10 · 信心:高 來源: Official government statements · Established international media reporting
Military action on Syrian territoryAir strikes since 2023 against what Amman calls arms and drug traffickers; a "deterrent operation" in Sweida province on 2–3 May 2026 against sites the Jordanian army said were used by arms and drug traffickers along its northern border; strikes on the evening of 26 October 2026 in Daraa (al-Tuff in the Lajat, near Nasib, al-Muzayrib) and Shuhayb in northern Sweida, which Jordan said hit ISIS positions and a weapons depot after the 23 October attack on a church in Karak截至2026-10 · 信心:高 The October toll is attributed and unreconciled: Jordan's spokesperson said preliminary assessments showed more than twenty ISIS members killed; Daraa's health director said seven people were killed including three children. The Jordanian military said the operation was coordinated with Damascus; the Syrian government said there was no prior coordination or notification and opened investigations. Vigil adopts neither account. 來源: Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗ · Official government statements · Established international media reporting · Reuters↗
Security cooperation with DamascusAgreement in Amman on 7 January 2025 to form a joint security committee against arms and drug smuggling and the resurgence of ISIS; Jordan's interior minister in Damascus on 8 July 2026 on joint training, the crossings and drug smuggling; the two foreign ministers agreed by phone on 27 October 2026 on the urgent need for a joint security committee after the strikes — called for, not reported formed截至2026-10 · 信心:中等 來源: Reuters↗ · Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗ · Official government statements
Host and intermediaryHosted the US-mediated Israel–Syria round of 23 August 2026 without being a party; Jordan's deputy prime minister met Syria's foreign minister in Damascus on 9 September 2026 to discuss implementation of the Sweida roadmap截至2026-09 · 信心:高 來源: Al Jazeera English↗ · Official government statements
The captagon fileSyria's foreign minister said in Amman in January 2025 that captagon smuggling "is over and won't return"; Jordanian interdiction and strikes against traffickers continued into 2026, and the US envoy said in October 2026 that the Sweida–Daraa area had become a centre of captagon production — a claim, recorded as one截至2026-10 · 信心:中等 來源: Reuters↗ · Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗ · Established international media reporting

目標

A southern Syria that exports neither captagon, weapons nor fighters across the border; a Damascus able and willing to police its south; the Nasib corridor open for Jordanian and Gulf trade; and the return of the Syrian refugees Jordan hosted through the war. Amman stated the first of these as the test of the new government within a month of the fall of Damascus, and has used force inside Syria when it judged the test failed.

來源: Reuters↗ · Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗

走向

From interdiction to intervention and back toward cooperation. Jordan's pre-emptive strikes against traffickers began under the late Assad state; the transition produced a stated commitment to a joint security committee in January 2025 and ministerial visits in 2026, while the strikes continued — deeper into Sweida in May 2026, and in October 2026 against what Amman called ISIS positions, with civilian deaths that Damascus condemned and a one-day closure of the crossing. The joint committee the two sides agreed on after the strikes is the same instrument they agreed to form twenty-one months earlier.

來源: Reuters↗ · Official government statements · Established international media reporting

關係

A working relationship with the transitional government, tested by the October 2026 strikes and the public dispute over whether they were coordinated; a venue for the US-mediated Israel–Syria track; alignment with the Gulf states on the transition's success; and a standing interest in the Sweida file, which Jordan's deputy prime minister discussed in Damascus in September 2026. Jordan is not a party to the Israel–Syria negotiation and is not recorded as one.

來源: Al Jazeera English↗ · Official government statements

本紀錄未涵蓋的內容

Jordan's West Bank interface, its treaty water and gas with Israel and its role in Gaza police training are the Levant module's record; its airspace and basing in the Iran–Israel war are the Iran–Gulf module's. Jordan's own counter-terrorism investigation of the 23 October 2026 Karak church attack is a Jordanian matter and is cited here only as the stated trigger of the strikes.

來源: Established international media reporting

Not published for Jordan and Syria立場(目標、制約、槓桿)

信心:中等 High for the dated acts — the January 2025 commitment, the July 2026 visit, the May and October 2026 strikes and the one-day closure — which rest on Jordanian and Syrian official statements carried by Reuters, AFP, Petra and SANA. Moderate for the characterisations: the targets of the strikes are Jordan's account, the tolls are attributed and unreconciled, and the joint security committee has been agreed twice and reported formed by nobody. 來源: Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗ · Official government statements · Reuters↗ · Established international media reporting · Al Jazeera English↗ 方法論 更正 在探索中開啟

最近檢視 — 2026-10-29

相關紀錄

4 records that Jordan and Syria names, or that name it — every one an explicit reference in a published record, nothing inferred from subject matter.

關係1

紀錄中將此行為者列為一方的常設關係,附上紀錄所述的類型、狀態與效期。

後勤系統1

紀錄中提及此行為者的補給與出口系統。

影響鏈1

紀錄中提及此行為者的機制。