VIGIL CONSILIUM
السياق، لا العناوين.
يُعرض جزء من هذه الصفحة بنسخته الإنجليزية المرجعية، إذ لم تُتَح ترجمته بعد. النسخة الإنجليزية

فاعل دولتي

الأردن وسوريا

القوى الخارجية قوة خارجية · الحدود الجنوبية، وممر نصيب، وملف الكبتاغون المملكة الأردنية الهاشمية

آخر مراجعة
2026-10-29

التقييمثقة متوسطة

تحمل الأرقام قدرًا من عدم اليقين خاصًا بها. فبيانات السكان والاقتصاد والإنفاق العسكري في زمن الحرب تقديرات، وكثيرًا ما تكون موضع خلاف؛ وكل رقم أدناه يعرض تاريخ سريانه ودرجة الثقة الخاصة به، وتعكس المناصب القيادية تاريخ آخر مراجعة وقد تتغيّر دون إشعار.

ما هي هذه الجهة الفاعلة

الجار الجنوبي لسوريا، والدولة التي يمر عبرها طريق تجارة الجنوب إلى الخليج. استضاف الأردن عددًا كبيرًا من اللاجئين السوريين طوال الحرب، وأمضى السنوات الأخيرة من عهد الأسد في اعتراض الكبتاغون والأسلحة عبر الحدود، ويضرب داخل سوريا من الجو منذ 2023 ضد ما يسمّيه مهرّبين، ومنذ أكتوبر 2026 ضد ما يسمّيه مواقع لداعش. واتفق مع الحكومة الانتقالية في يناير 2025 على تشكيل لجنة أمنية مشتركة ضد التهريب وداعش؛ وبعد ضرباته في 26 أكتوبر 2026 في درعا والسويداء، التي قالت دمشق إنها لم تُنسَّق وقالت مديرية الصحة في درعا إنها قتلت سبعة مدنيين، اتفق وزيرا الخارجية على الحاجة الملحّة إلى مثل هذه اللجنة. واستضاف أيضًا الجولة الإسرائيلية–السورية بوساطة أمريكية في 23 أغسطس 2026 من دون أن يكون طرفًا فيها.

الثقة: متوسطة رُوجع 2026-10-29

The crossingNasib–Jaber on the Damascus–Amman highway — the south's trade gate to Jordan and the Gulf and a principal route for returns; closed to passenger and commercial traffic for one day on 27 October 2026 after the Jordanian strikes, with traffic reported back to normal on the morning of 28 Octoberبتاريخ 2026-10 · الثقة: عالية المصادر: Official government statements · Established international media reporting
Military action on Syrian territoryAir strikes since 2023 against what Amman calls arms and drug traffickers; a "deterrent operation" in Sweida province on 2–3 May 2026 against sites the Jordanian army said were used by arms and drug traffickers along its northern border; strikes on the evening of 26 October 2026 in Daraa (al-Tuff in the Lajat, near Nasib, al-Muzayrib) and Shuhayb in northern Sweida, which Jordan said hit ISIS positions and a weapons depot after the 23 October attack on a church in Karakبتاريخ 2026-10 · الثقة: عالية The October toll is attributed and unreconciled: Jordan's spokesperson said preliminary assessments showed more than twenty ISIS members killed; Daraa's health director said seven people were killed including three children. The Jordanian military said the operation was coordinated with Damascus; the Syrian government said there was no prior coordination or notification and opened investigations. Vigil adopts neither account. المصادر: Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗ · Official government statements · Established international media reporting · Reuters↗
Security cooperation with DamascusAgreement in Amman on 7 January 2025 to form a joint security committee against arms and drug smuggling and the resurgence of ISIS; Jordan's interior minister in Damascus on 8 July 2026 on joint training, the crossings and drug smuggling; the two foreign ministers agreed by phone on 27 October 2026 on the urgent need for a joint security committee after the strikes — called for, not reported formedبتاريخ 2026-10 · الثقة: متوسطة المصادر: Reuters↗ · Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗ · Official government statements
Host and intermediaryHosted the US-mediated Israel–Syria round of 23 August 2026 without being a party; Jordan's deputy prime minister met Syria's foreign minister in Damascus on 9 September 2026 to discuss implementation of the Sweida roadmapبتاريخ 2026-09 · الثقة: عالية المصادر: Al Jazeera English↗ · Official government statements
The captagon fileSyria's foreign minister said in Amman in January 2025 that captagon smuggling "is over and won't return"; Jordanian interdiction and strikes against traffickers continued into 2026, and the US envoy said in October 2026 that the Sweida–Daraa area had become a centre of captagon production — a claim, recorded as oneبتاريخ 2026-10 · الثقة: متوسطة المصادر: Reuters↗ · Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗ · Established international media reporting

الأهداف

A southern Syria that exports neither captagon, weapons nor fighters across the border; a Damascus able and willing to police its south; the Nasib corridor open for Jordanian and Gulf trade; and the return of the Syrian refugees Jordan hosted through the war. Amman stated the first of these as the test of the new government within a month of the fall of Damascus, and has used force inside Syria when it judged the test failed.

المصادر: Reuters↗ · Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗

المسار

From interdiction to intervention and back toward cooperation. Jordan's pre-emptive strikes against traffickers began under the late Assad state; the transition produced a stated commitment to a joint security committee in January 2025 and ministerial visits in 2026, while the strikes continued — deeper into Sweida in May 2026, and in October 2026 against what Amman called ISIS positions, with civilian deaths that Damascus condemned and a one-day closure of the crossing. The joint committee the two sides agreed on after the strikes is the same instrument they agreed to form twenty-one months earlier.

المصادر: Reuters↗ · Official government statements · Established international media reporting

العلاقات

A working relationship with the transitional government, tested by the October 2026 strikes and the public dispute over whether they were coordinated; a venue for the US-mediated Israel–Syria track; alignment with the Gulf states on the transition's success; and a standing interest in the Sweida file, which Jordan's deputy prime minister discussed in Damascus in September 2026. Jordan is not a party to the Israel–Syria negotiation and is not recorded as one.

المصادر: Al Jazeera English↗ · Official government statements

ما لا يغطيه هذا السجل

Jordan's West Bank interface, its treaty water and gas with Israel and its role in Gaza police training are the Levant module's record; its airspace and basing in the Iran–Israel war are the Iran–Gulf module's. Jordan's own counter-terrorism investigation of the 23 October 2026 Karak church attack is a Jordanian matter and is cited here only as the stated trigger of the strikes.

المصادر: Established international media reporting

Not published for Jordan and Syriaالموقف (الأهداف، القيود، النفوذ)

الثقة: متوسطة High for the dated acts — the January 2025 commitment, the July 2026 visit, the May and October 2026 strikes and the one-day closure — which rest on Jordanian and Syrian official statements carried by Reuters, AFP, Petra and SANA. Moderate for the characterisations: the targets of the strikes are Jordan's account, the tolls are attributed and unreconciled, and the joint security committee has been agreed twice and reported formed by nobody. المصادر: Jordanian government statements (Petra, Armed Forces)↗ · Official government statements · Reuters↗ · Established international media reporting · Al Jazeera English↗ المنهجية التصويبات افتح في وضع الاستكشاف

آخر مراجعة — 2026-10-29

سجلات مرتبطة

4 records that Jordan and Syria names, or that name it — every one an explicit reference in a published record, nothing inferred from subject matter.

العلاقات1

علاقات قائمة يسمّي سجلها هذه الجهة الفاعلة طرفًا فيها، مع النوع والحالة والسريان كما يذكرها السجل.

المنظومات اللوجستية1

منظومات الإمداد والتصدير التي يسمّي سجلها هذه الجهة الفاعلة.

سلاسل الأثر1

الآليات التي يسمّي سجلها هذه الجهة الفاعلة.