發生了什麼
2026年10月26日晚間，約旦軍機空襲德拉省多處地點——Lajat的al-Tuff、Nasib附近的農場、al-Muzayrib——以及蘇韋達北部的Shuhayb。約旦政府發言人Mohammad al-Momani表示，空襲擊中依據現場情報選定的伊斯蘭國據點與一座武器庫，初步評估顯示有二十多名伊斯蘭國成員被擊斃，且空襲是在10月23日卡拉克一座教堂遇襲之後進行，約旦有關機關將該襲擊與從敘利亞境內活動的武裝分子聯繫起來；約旦軍方表示此次行動是與大馬士革協調進行的。敘利亞政府於10月27日表示事前沒有任何協調或通知，譴責空襲侵犯其主權，並展開調查；德拉衛生局長表示有七人遇害，其中包括三名兒童，敘利亞民防組織公布了相同的死亡人數。邊境與海關總局於10月27日關閉Nasib口岸的客運與商業通行，但放行返國的朝覲者與人道案例，並表示10月28日上午通行已恢復正常。10月27日，外交部長Asaad al-Shaibani與Ayman Safadi在電話中同意有迫切需要成立聯合安全委員會；據報Safadi對平民死亡表示深切遺憾。
A new external actor using force in the south, and a public contradiction between two governments that describe each other as partners. What is established is the strikes, their places, the one-day closure and the statements; what is not is coordination, which Amman asserts and Damascus denies, and the toll, which each side gives in its own terms and nobody has reconciled. The episode de-escalated inside forty-eight hours into the same instrument the two governments agreed to form in January 2025 — a joint security committee, called for and not reported formed. For the module it is a fourth pressure on the southern corridor beside the Sweida standoff, Israeli operations and the unsigned security agreement, and the first closure day the corridor chain's watch item has recorded. Jordan's claim of ISIS positions in Daraa is carried as a claim on the ISIS-suppression question; the Karak attack and Jordan's investigation are a Jordanian matter.
信心：高
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