關閉的邊境 → 狹窄的過境通道 → 亞美尼亞的經濟代價

如何解讀等級

• 已證實 有來源記錄其已經發生。
• 合理可信的曝險 Vigil評估為很可能的機制；尚無其已經發生的紀錄。
• 未經證實的情境 因為值得觀察而列出。並非斷言。

一個步驟的等級永遠不能高於它所依賴的步驟：結果的確立程度不能高於其原因。這項規則在本網站建置時強制執行，而非以人工套用 — 違反它的鏈會導致建置失敗，而不會被發布。

曝險的產業與商品

以一般標籤命名，而非受控詞彙，因此這份清單不會與本模組經濟部分已使用的商品名稱產生偏差。

仍然未知的事項

• Published estimates of the closed borders' economic cost vary widely and depend heavily on assumptions that thirty years of closure make untestable — which is why the final step is graded plausible.
• Armenian trade-route shares are reported on differing bases and informal cross-border trade is not measured.
• Commercial terms of Iranian trade arrangements are not public and include components sanctions reporting does not capture.

證據同樣支持的其他解讀

• Armenia's economic underperformance relative to its neighbours can be attributed to the closed borders, to the absence of hydrocarbons that Azerbaijan has, or to governance and investment factors independent of both. All three operate and published analysis does not apportion them.
• Continued Russian economic dependence can be read as a political choice or as the arithmetic consequence of two open borders, one of which leads to Russia. The trade data fits the second reading more closely than the first.

列出這些解讀，是因為該紀錄本身的評估並非其來源所允許的唯一評估 — 而不是對上述評估的保留。