俄羅斯承認阿布哈茲與南奧塞提亞

發生了什麼

停火兩週後，俄羅斯承認兩個分離地區為獨立國家，並與雙方各自簽署駐軍協議。只有少數國家跟進；世界其他國家仍承認兩地為喬治亞的一部分。

Recognition ended the ambiguity of the 1990s formats: Russian troops in both entities became a declared, permanent presence, and the entities themselves became dependencies whose "independence" is indistinguishable from alignment. It also broke, deliberately, the taboo Russia had itself defended over Kosovo.

信心：高