政黨遭解散，過渡期改為無限期

發生了什麼

2025年5月7日的一項法令暫停了馬利所有政黨的活動；5月13日的第二項法令解散了近300個政黨，並以起訴相威脅禁止其集會與活動。7月10日，過渡總統頒布一部修訂後的過渡憲章，賦予自己可連任、無需選舉的五年任期，過渡期將持續至國家被宣布實現和平為止。一個全國協商進程曾建議以同一條件暫停選舉規劃。

This is the module's largest political development of 2025 and the point at which the transition stopped being a timetable that kept slipping and became an arrangement with no end condition anyone outside the government can verify. Every subsequent legitimacy question in this module — what the government is fighting to preserve, what a negotiated outcome could even look like, why security failure translates so directly into political risk — runs through it. The dates matter because the module previously placed this process a year too early.

信心：高