Teile dieser Seite erscheinen in der kanonischen englischen Fassung; ihre Übersetzung liegt noch nicht vor. Englische Fassung

Beziehungseintrag

Israel und die Levante — Hamas

Eine seit Oktober 2025 geltende Waffenruhe, bei der die zentrale Frage des Krieges — die Waffen der Hamas gegen den Rückzug Israels — weiterhin ungeklärt ist.

Gegnerisch Seit 1987-12

Aktiv
Eingeschätzt zum Stand
2026-10-05
Zuletzt überprüft
2026-10-11

EinschätzungHohe Konfidenz

Eine beschriebene Vereinbarung, keine Bewertung. Vigil veröffentlicht kein Maß dafür, wie stark, freundlich oder feindselig eine Beziehung ist, und keine Beziehung auf dieser Website trägt eine Punktzahl, einen Trend oder eine Entwicklungsrichtung. Festgehalten wird, was die Vereinbarung umfasst, wann sie begann, was sie verändert hat und wie gesichert jeder dieser Punkte ist.

Kurz gesagt

Israel and Hamas have been at war since Hamas's attack of 7 October 2023 and under a ceasefire since 10 October 2025. The hostages are returned; what is not settled is the order of Hamas's disarmament and Israel's withdrawal, on which the Board of Peace roadmap Hamas approved and Israel has not signed turns.

Eine symmetrische Vereinbarung: Sie liest sich von beiden Seiten gleich. Einmal verfasst, in einem Eintrag.

Die Vereinbarung

Status
AktivIn Kraft und in Anwendung. Sagt nichts darüber aus, wie gut es funktioniert oder in welche Richtung es sich bewegt.Letzte wesentliche Änderung: 2025-10-10.
Was sie umfasst
VerteidigungDiplomatischKategorien, die die Vereinbarung nachweislich umfasst. Kein Maß: Eine Beziehung, die mehr davon umfasst, ist ausführlicher beschrieben, nicht gefestigter.

Zusammenfassung

Hostility between Israel and Hamas dates from the organisation's founding in 1987 and became a sustained war after the attack of 7 October 2023. Two ceasefires followed. The first, announced in Doha on 15 January 2025 and in force from 19 January, collapsed when Israel resumed large-scale strikes on 18 March 2025; its text was never officially published. The second rests on the US 20-point plan of 29 September 2025, which Resolution 2803 annexes and whose acceptance by the parties it acknowledges, and on a first-phase agreement reached at Sharm el-Sheikh on 8–9 October that has never been published. The ceasefire took effect on 10 October 2025. The last living hostage was returned on 13 October and the last deceased hostage on 26 January 2026; Israel released 250 life-sentence prisoners and some 1,700 Gazans detained after 7 October 2023, according to the Board of Peace's report to the Council. Israeli forces hold the Strip behind what Israel calls the Yellow Line (Gaza), which has moved westward since October 2025. The Board reported violations on a "near daily basis" and named Hamas's refusal to accept verified decommissioning as the principal obstacle. Its roadmap of 30 July 2026 links decommissioning to a phased Israeli withdrawal; Hamas approved it and Israel is not a signatory. The Ministry of Health in Gaza, relayed by OCHA, counted 1,431 people killed between 10 October 2025 and early October 2026.

Warum es wichtig ist

Every other Gaza arrangement waits on this relationship: the technocratic committee's entry, the stabilisation force's deployment, Israeli withdrawal and reconstruction money are all sequenced against Hamas's weapons. The ceasefire froze the fighting without resolving that sequence, and the Israeli election of 27 October 2026 decides which government answers it.

Abkommen

  • Comprehensive Plan to End the Gaza Conflict (20 points), annex 1 to Resolution 2803 · unterzeichnet 2025-09-29

    A US plan, not a signed bilateral instrument. Israel's prime minister accepted it on its release; Resolution 2803 (17 November 2025) annexes it and acknowledges that the parties have accepted it. It provides for Israeli withdrawal "to the agreed upon line", the return of all hostages within 72 hours, no governance role for Hamas and demilitarisation under independent monitors, and ties further withdrawal to demilitarisation milestones. Where the line runs is not in the UN text.

  • Board of Peace roadmap for completing the Comprehensive Plan (15 points), dated 30 July 2026

    Developed by the guarantors (Egypt, Qatar, Türkiye, the United States) and the High Representative. Hamas approved it; Israel is not a signatory, so it is not in force as a text binding both parties. It links decommissioning to "an Israeli withdrawal, in phases" and makes an International Verification Committee certify each stage; no document shows that committee constituted. Its annex (1) on cessation of operations is not published.

Verwandte Ereignisse

Was unbekannt bleibt

  • The Sharm el-Sheikh first-phase agreement of October 2025 — which the roadmap calls the "Sharm Sheikh Protocol" — has no published text. Its withdrawal map, aid threshold and operations-room arrangements cannot be cited to a primary source; the only official statement of the aid commitment is the Board's "4,200 trucks … weekly" (S/2026/418 §13).
  • The January 2025 agreement was never officially published; its terms are known from an AP copy that Egyptian and Hamas officials authenticated.
  • The share of the Strip behind the Yellow Line (Gaza) rests on estimates and an Israeli directive, not on a published line; it is not given here as a figure.
  • Casualty totals since the ceasefire are the Ministry of Health in Gaza's, relayed by OCHA; Israeli reports of Hamas violations are the IDF's. The two are not combined.

Lesarten, die die Belege ebenfalls stützen

  • The ceasefire can be read as the war's end with its last terms outstanding, or as a pause in a war whose aims — on one side the removal of Hamas's arms, on the other Israeli withdrawal — are unchanged. The record dates the ceasefire and the instruments and does not choose.

Aufgeführt, weil die Einschätzung des Eintrags nicht die einzige ist, die seine Quellen zulassen — nicht als Absicherung der obigen Einschätzung.

Watch-Fragen, für die diese Beziehung relevant ist

Ständige analytische Fragen, deren Belege über diese Beziehung laufen, jeweils mit ihrer letzten Überprüfung. Abgeleitet aus dem Watch-Objekt, hier nie wiederholt.

All Levant relationships In Erkunden öffnen

Eingeschätzt zum Stand — 2026-10-05 Zuletzt überprüft — 2026-10-11